CRYPTO REVEALED | July 23, 2026
✓ Transcript saved
AI Summary
Transcript
[music] [music] >> Hey folks, Nick Valdez here, chief crypto strategist at Verified Investing, and welcome to Crypto Revealed. We got a major show for you today cuz we're looking at the Bitcoin chart. We're going to talk about the Clarity Act's odds, how they changed, how they fluctuated, and how they affected Bitcoin's price. Then we're going to look at some of the major altcoins, and I have a trade setup that is very nearing my first entry, and we'll check in on the sweet trade and see how that one is going, and I'll tell you my exact levels for profit taking on that one. Thank you for joining, and thank you for leaving those comments down below. I love replying to you folks. But let's go ahead and dive into the Bitcoin chart, everybody. So we had Clarity Act. The odds went as low as 31% last night. Now, just 2 days ago, the odds were as high as 53%, and now they're at currently 37%. We had a big spike right around 5:00 a.m. at 41%. Now, I don't know if anyone has inside information cuz to make a jump from 31% to 41% is a quite large leap there. And if you're asking, "Well, where are you seeing these Clarity Act odds?" It is on the prediction markets is where you can follow this. I was looking at Polymarket. Now, Bitcoin still trading within our parallel range. Looks like we are now pushed back into this range, but we still have 6 and 1/2 hours on this daily close, so I wouldn't say Bitcoin is pushed in, you know, for sure, but we are starting to run out of time for this candle. And you just see the price pushed up and the price pushed down. This gave us our range. If you continue to draw out this parallel channel, well, what do you know? That's exactly where Bitcoin bounced right here and right here, and then that's exactly where Bitcoin would end up getting pushed down one more time. And the daily's, they're closing and opening right at this level as well. But, we did call out this little bit of resistance. It's an ascending resistance line here, and Bitcoin tried to beat against it for a couple days, but just the bulls were not able to take control. And I think a large portion of that push was off that Clarity Act odds. When they shot above 50%, that's exactly when we saw Bitcoin start to break out. And now that they're below 50%, that's exactly where we're seeing Bitcoin get pushed down. Now, again, I'm going to show you a upcoming altcoin trade. We're getting very close. It's a popular coin. I'll go ahead and front-run it. XLM. That's right. Not extra large or medium. No, that's a altcoin Stellar Lumens. But, let's look at the ETH chart. Uh ETH, you know, just rejecting up our range right here, this 1930 level. We talked about the historical significance. We haven't checked in on that in a while. It's just going back to 2021. You can see that the This is the bottom yellow line is 1930. In 2021, we got beat down right there, acted as resistance. In 2022, got beat down, acted as resistance. Both of those weekly ranges wicked above $2,000, which is why we were showing it, uh you know, right above. So, if we do see some some nice wicks to the upside, uh keep an eye out on 2K if you are in a long position. But, I am not interested in any long position on Ethereum until we can hit this little bit of a range. The top part of the range is the February 6th pivot low. If you push this out, we slice right into the top parts right there, that gives us our range. And look how often ETH was trying to break above this range. 1 2 3 candles, 4 5 6 7, 8 9 10 11. The 12th candle was where we were finally able to to beat through this ceiling before we could hyper uppercut into the second story, and it was currently acting as support. You see the wick right here, Friday, July 17th. But again, keep an eye out on the daily close cuz the bulls might try to push above this descending trend line. If it does, that's when we can start talking about 2K. If it doesn't, that's when we're going to start looking at this range below. But again, keep an eye out on that daily close cuz we still have a little bit to go. Now, Solana, again, still just listening to the parallel range. We have our candle bodies creating bottom, creating the top. Wow, look at that. Look exactly where we ended up finding nice support, where we found some nice resistance here. And boy, oh boy, we can even go to the 4-hour. Look at that right there. So, this was yesterday's stream. We were knocking against it. We came up and retested it last night. Also got pushed down below. And now we're interacting with this ascending trend line that is just catching the bottoms right here. But this one's a very important candle. We have 6 hours left. Like I said, if we go below, yeah, we're going to test this support. Very, very close. I don't know if it's going to hold. We're going to need to see a little bit more price action. But if the bulls go above, folks, we're running out of time. We have one candle here, two candles there, three candles. That's Friday, Saturday, Sunday illiquid week- weekend. So, I am expecting a major move, but I'm waiting for a confirmation. Folks, you don't want to chase these trades and just be very, very careful. We got one more major mover of the majors here, and that's going to be Cardano. Cardano still rejecting off this resistance line. We talked about this 15 days. Cardano could not pass this level. Got beat down again. Yesterday's stream, we were basically at the peak right here. We can go to 4-hour. Uh 4, 8, 12, 16, 20, 24 hours ago, boom, right here. I mean, we were flying high. Oh boy, oh boy, Ada gang was happy. It's like, "Oh, this is looking good." That's why it's so important to watch for for daily candle closes. That can give you that confirmation you need. It does look like the bears are going to be winning. I like a long at the 15 six level. I would not, you know, be too greedy. I wouldn't try to draw any trend line right here. I don't think we have enough data. Uh plus it's just really not enough price action for me. But it is, you know, maybe potentially going to hold support. And this one, hey, another We just have two days. We need to find out a decision very, very soon. But for now, I'm mostly watching this descending trend line and this horizontal support. And we also have the bottoms here and the psychological level of 15 cents. So, Cardano looking pretty close to a a nice long level. Let's go to Zcash. Zcash is another token, you know, just respecting the ranges. If you think of a bouncing ball, we had a nice little bounce there. Little bit of a lower bounce. It's almost like a baseball's curveball or a forkball or something. And now it looks like, you know, if it comes down that that the ball is bouncing a little bit less, a little bit less. That's going to increase the probabilities of a move to the downside. I told you folks, I am not interested in any kind of long position until we can see a setup similar to what we saw before the last major bounce. This was about a 60%, I believe. Yeah, 60% gain. And we had a nice strong bull div on the four-hour as well as a bull div on the daily. Uh maybe not so much a bull div cuz, you know, the candle body is slightly higher. But you can see the RSI shooting a lot higher. Clean bull div on the four-hour. Right now, the four-hour is starting to look like it's turning over. If we put in a lower low while the RSI is higher, that's when you can start talking about a long position on Zcash. But this token is so volatile, you better not move in before you have more confirmations. I don't want you to open a long on Zcash just cuz it's tagging a trend line. Cuz that thing can fall 60% in two days. We've seen that recently. I'm not talking about 2017. We're talking about in 2026 it's done that. In fact, it did it just in June. So, just be very careful trying to trade Zcash cuz that thing can turn sour just like that milk when the refrigerator expires. All right, now let's look at HyperLiquid. There's really only two tokens that are up, you know, in the past 24 hours. It is Zcash and HyperLiquid. If you go to Zcash and look at the 4-hour, you know, 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 24 hours ago, we were a little bit lower. HyperLiquid, same situation. 24 hours ago, we were a little bit lower. This is right where we are recording our live yesterday. So, we're we're slightly higher, but right now the market is bearish. And you can see the daily is turning red. But it does look like it is trying to lose this level, which was the pivot top here as we keep beating near this midway point of this parallel structure. I am not interested in any kind of long position though until we get close to the bottom of this range. I was, you know, maybe potentially thinking about a scalp with the first wicks. But now that we've gone up and came back down, caution. Caution into the wind, all right? Wait for a nice little maybe come in near these pivot lows around 53. That's still, you know, a decent amount of downside to the bottom of the range, you know, that's that's a 10% move to the downside. So, I might want to wait till we get closer to this parallel structure. All right, let's go into XLM. That's going to be the one that has a little bit of trade. So, what's happening with this token? Well, look at this. We have a nice little potential double support here. We have this horizontal pivot top right here at 18 cents. You can see the price was trying to pass through here. And boy, when that thing shot up, it just went right through. I mean, it just phased right through the wall like some sort of future technology. A huge huge gain for XLM. I know this is probably why so many of you folks like this token. It is just so volatile. That's That's a basically Let me come in from that candle bottom. So, we have 1 day, 2 day, 3 days later, that's 100% gain. That's 100% gain in 3 days. Only in crypto are you going to see that unless you're trying to trade those penny stocks. But, look at XLM. It is, you know, it's now flipped this resistance potentially into support. We're pretty close to that level. We're not quite at the range. I I would want to wait till we get a little bit lower below 18 cents. That's when you can potentially nibble in on a long. And then, we also have, you know, just just nice little support there. So, keep an eye on that. I would exit the long at this ascending trend line. This has kind of capped all the rallies that we've seen for the past couple weeks. But, folks, you need to have a tight stop loss on this one, okay? You need to have good risk reward. Maybe even potentially below these wicks cuz if we put in a lower low, then a lower low on the wick, and then another lower low, that's just increasing the probabilities we're going to come down, you know, maybe below 17 cents. And look how fast it moved up. If it If it can take an elevator up, it can also fall down that elevator. It can also fall down that elevator shaft. So, you don't want to go chasing some of these trades on some of these altcoins, especially since tomorrow is Friday. We're heading to the weekends. And, you know, just be very careful trying to trade these tokens on the weekend. Uh Yeah, World Liberty Fi. I cover World Liberty Fi on ProCharts Crypto Edition. That's going to be on Verified Pro Traders. It's one of our sister channels. It's where we put some of our another other content. So, go check that out if you're wondering about World Liberty Fi. I tell you my thoughts on a trade, whether or not I'd open a trade, and just the levels to pay attention to. All right, let's go ahead and look at the last token, everybody. And that's going to give us our tip of the day that came from you. It came from you viewers leaving comments on the videos. Uh someone said, "You always say you missed uh an early trade. Talking about, oh, it happened at 2:00 a.m. It happened at 4:00 a.m. I missed the trade. Well, why can't you place a buy order for your target price so you don't miss those 4:00 a.m. prices? My answer, I hesitate to place limit orders on crypto while sleeping in case a 10/10 event happens again. Okay, that's when alts got nuked. We will look at that 10/10 wick in a second. First, let's do the TA here. Looks like Sui, this is Sui by the way. It's a layer one altcoin. Layer ones, that's going to be something like Ethereum, Cardano, Solana, Near. Those are layer one altcoins meaning, you know, it's just an ecosystem that can kind of do a lot of things. Sui is almost a beta play to the Clarity Act. What do I mean by a beta play? If Bitcoin moves a little off the Clarity Act, Sui's going to move more cuz it's [clears throat] going to be more, let's just say important or more connected to that Clarity Act. Sui has a lot of stablecoins. They want to be a stablecoin ecosystem. They want to kind of take over a Visa or a Mastercard. They say, "Hey, we're faster than Solana. We're much faster than Cardano. We're cheaper than Ethereum. You know, bring your stablecoins over to our ecosystem." So, you know, this just might be a lot of the Clarity Act pushing it down. But, what's the buy the rumor sell the news? Staking was added to Coinbase today. That's right. You can now stake Sui on Coinbase. I'm not recommend you do that or anything. It's just, you know, that might have been a buy the rumor sell the news. Maybe some people, you know, had some inside information, ran it up ahead of time. It's just, I've said it before, anticipation is the oxygen of an asset. So, the anticipation of that staking, you know, created a nice little rally. Now that it's here, all right, well, that's why they call it buy the rumor sell the news. Now, we do have a huge liquidation flush at 74 cents with crypto. You can see where people get liquidated. and a lot of traders are going to get liquidated at 74 cents. Often times that means the price will get pushed down that low. Now, we are close, 74.5. I did add to my trade. I saw this wick. Uh this was earlier, uh yeah, right around lunchtime. This is 11:00 a.m. This is 12:00 p.m. So, I did add to my trade here. My average entry is right above 75 cents, about 75.1. So, we added right here on the trend line. Uh maybe we actually caught that wick there and we are now in right around 75 cents. So, uh we we have a couple targets that we're looking for SWE. I'm not afraid to cut and run on this one. Talked about lower lows and lower highs. We can see a a higher low here, a higher low here, a higher low here. If we fail to keep having higher lows, well, maybe that trade's not going to be a good one. You need to get out of that. So, we need to make sure we don't close below this range right here. If we close below here, we no longer have higher lows. Now, maybe that might mean, "Well, just keep adding to that trade." You just want to be careful adding to losing positions. Now, my exit targets, you know, I want to exit a lot of the trade right here at this descending trend line. Uh where you're going to see, you know, boom, we have a nice little support, nice little support, push it down for resistance. That's going to be a nice move from 75 cents. Uh let's put it right there perfectly. Yeah, uh that's about a 6% pump and we have the head and shoulder target. Head and shoulder target also hit this wick high, or I'm sorry, this wick low. So, that's going to be a 20% gain. So, I don't want to hold on for the 20% gain. I want to exit mostly at that 6% pump, but we could potentially be facing a slight downward pressure. Let me uh reopen this. I can show you the risk reward setup here. 75.1. I'm actually a little bit higher, so it'd actually be a little bit better. Yeah, maybe it's it's really closer to 1.6%, 1.5. So, we have a close to a 4:1 risk-reward ratio with a potential moonshot. Let's get into the tip of the day here. Why don't I place buy orders while I go to sleep? Well, crypto can move a lot harder than you expect. 10 10 was what I was referencing, and that means October 10th. Let me show you the October I'm trying not to laugh. I >> [laughter] >> I actually did have a order to go to sleep. I can't remember what altcoin it was. Totally got liquidated. Everybody got liquidated. Look at this 10 10 wick. This was low liquidity. Uh there was there was a tweet from the president that also pushed things lower. This was a 72% drawdown in one day. That wick absolutely wrecked traders. So, say you did have a buy order. You're like, maybe you could look at this trend line. You're like, "Oh, okay. I see a nice little nice little setup right there. I'll put in my buy order." You might have You might have woke up in the middle of this and just said, "Wait, what the heck?" You would panic sell, okay? So, you got to be very very careful. Now, if you had diamond hands, yeah, you could have probably got out at break even, but that wasn't most people's experience. Let's look at Cardano's 10 10 wick. I mean, look at that, right? Geez, we got to fix this I'm trying not to laugh. It was so much pain. I'm just numb inside from it. But yeah, that that was a major major wick right there. And even Ethereum, the largest altcoin, Ethereum wasn't even immune to this one. Uh let's look at October. Uh we No, we're in the wrong year. I was about to say, "Wait a minute, what's happening here?" Uh October 10th. Yeah, right there. This one actually closed a little bit lower. More liquidity for the larger altcoin. So, the smaller the altcoin, the crazier the move. XLM, wow, that one really stung. That one That one stings right there. Uh we can even go to Let's just say Solana. Solana also beaten down really hard in October. Uh here we go right there. That one also closed a little bit higher. So, the larger the altcoin, the smaller the wick, but the the weaker the altcoin or the less liquidity, the crazier that wick. That means there was just it was selling and selling and selling and there weren't enough buyers. There wasn't enough liquidity. There wasn't enough in the order book. And so, that is why I do not go to sleep with an open order. You never know what you're going to wake up to in crypto. It's a little bit different than the stock market. We could have a major crypto exchange collapse. We could have something happen to MicroStrategy. We could have something happen to the Bitcoin network. We could have something happen to Ethereum, for instance. Any kind of these black swan events are going to push these altcoins down 70% like it's nothing. And so, just be very careful with buy orders while you go to sleep. You need to monitor the situation, everybody. But, again, I appreciate all the comments. I'll see you guys commenting on the live. Uh we had a nice little pump. Bitcoin pays a good dividend. Oh, BTC. Maybe I'll check that one out for tomorrow's episode. Make sure you go check out Verified Pro Traders, as well. We're putting out a lot of content there. Of course, we have Crypto Revealed. We bring you this show Monday through Friday, 1:30 p.m. Eastern Standard Time. Make sure you hit that like button. I really do appreciate all the support you guys have given me. I appreciate, you know, all the support from my co-workers, Jake, Lawton, Drew. I can't wait to work with Gareth. Gareth is home office right now. Gareth was on vacation, remember? Uh he was in Mexico. Then he went to Oregon. I haven't even worked with the guy, and I've known him for years. So, really looking forward to working with him next week. Maybe I'll even try to film him in a TikTok or something funny. But folks, smash that like button on the way out. I appreciate you guys hanging out till the end, as always. Really, really do appreciate it from the bottom of my heart. I'll see you folks in the future. Thank