Trading The Close | July 28, 2026
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[music] >> Hello everybody. Welcome to trading the close. My name is Drew Dosik and guys today we had an interesting day in the markets. Tech saw some selling pressure pulling down on the charts but the S&P 500 remained positive as well as the Dow Jones. So you can clearly see rotation going on. We talked about this a couple weeks ago with rotation out of tech into some other players in the market. Even into other tech names like Apple which yesterday did overtake Nvidia as the largest market cap in the world. Incredible. They almost did crack $5 by the close today but they didn't do it. So we're going to take a look at that chart guys. We got a full show. We've got one viewer request and we've got some other viewer requests from Ohio Silver. Those are going to come likely tomorrow or on another show but guys thank you so much for the participation. I can't really thank you enough because it really means a lot to me. Let's get into these charts, break down where these support and levels and resistance levels are. Now for the spiders starting out today it's just another sideways chop day but we look back on this chart. This is a move from up above and sideways chop. The positive note for the bulls here is that the the downward side of each one of these candles for the last three out of four have all shown that buyers step in towards the end of the day pushing the price up on these candles but that doesn't take away the fact it's still a downward move and a near term bear flag. Only four candles guys. Now it's doing so right above a level of support at $734 and $0.01 right on top of this old parallel channel. Well, we've already caught support there two other times before and bounced up. This next time is vulnerable of a breakthrough, all right? With the next major support, guys, down here at $7.10. Now, right around 7:30, there will be a little bit of support with these low pivots and these low candles that occurred. But, should we break that parallel, guys, that would raise a red flag. We're going to see and watch very closely if that happens and if we get a confirmation signal in the near future. Next up into the Qs, which had more selling pressure, down 0.97% today, but look what it did when closing, guys. Closed right up above this level of support, $674.90. A nice recovery, putting in a a narrow body bar as well with a decent wick on the underside. Now, this is just one day of potential upside recovery. Even though we're down 1%, you may say, "What are you talking about, Drew?" Well, I'm talking about the way we closed. We started pushing up very nicely and closing above support. Now, notice the last couple days of price action. We closed underneath this trend line, then we confirmed that close, and then we pushed down further the following days. That tells me any sort of bounce, like a retrace, cuz guys, that happens in this show weekly. Breakdowns or breakouts and retraces to the trend lines in which it had just broken. This happens over and over again in the markets, so much so that we can almost anticipate a potential bounce from this region to take us up there to that trend line. So, that trend line right here, as you see, right around $695.25 will be the resistance. Now, of course, we're in a downward move now in a breakdown scenario on the current elevated price action we had on the Qs. Now, keep in mind, just because we put in one narrow body bar, doesn't mean, of course, 100% we're rocketing up. I'm simply stating that we did a good job closing above the support, which increases probabilities of a potential bounce and move up. I keep in mind, we've got the Federal Reserve tomorrow. We got more earnings tomorrow with Meta, Microsoft, and uh you name it. Apple and Amazon on Thursday. Guys, we've got a lot of stuff that can certainly jockey price all around this area of support, which is why I've highlighted the 652.13, as well as the resistance up here at 695.25. Next up into the SMH, nice decline today down 3.45%. Look at that nasty drop, also developing the exact same style of candle as what was displayed over there on the QQQ, the Nasdaq 100. Now, if you notice here on the SMH, I've highlighted this longer-term inclining parallel channel that derives back into liberation day lows in April of 2025. The last few days of trading, we bounced on top of that area and then even tested it yesterday. Now, we are cleanly in it. We did not confirm in here, but we did confirm a breakdown from this inclining trend line. So, that area is going to be the major level of resistance, $580.09. Near-term minor level of resistance for tomorrow at 544.61 and support down here at 508.58. That sort of tail tells me we likely could start going up and test the top end of this parallel channel. We'll see if that comes tomorrow or even overnight as we do have um the Korean and Asian markets opening around 8:00 in the evening here in the US. And then actually, first before we go to the Dow Jones, let's look at or before we go to the 10-year, let's look at the Dow Jones that did push up very nicely up over 500 points today. So, all the markets weren't down. It was specifically tech. The spider stayed positive, QQQ Nasdaq 100 negative, the semiconductors down over 3%, but then the Dow Jones up 1.03%. One of the reasons, look at Coca-Cola today that uh reported earnings, beat on earnings, and most importantly broke out of this inclining parallel that has contained price ever since back here in December of 2019, but it ran straight into this inclining trend line. This trend line was found by one of our new traders here, Nick. You might have seen him on our crypto shows. This guy spotted it like a champ, man. Look at this. Price ran straight up into the $90 mark and pulled right back down. Watch Coca-Cola's top of the parallel here, 85.25 to see if it can hold this level and continue marching up, potentially put in a bull flag, and march up that chart. Great breakout there on Coca-Cola. Uh next up into the 10-year yield. You see 10-year pulling down slightly today, which did help the spiders remain positive, but a lot of this is occurring because there's no news occurring from the Federal Reserve, guys. We don't have any sort of inside as to what they're going to discuss and decide tomorrow. So, the 10-year yield was just pulling down slightly, taking some a little bit of a breather before we get hit with a boatload of information tomorrow. I expect a lot of volatility here on the 10-year. Next area of support down here, 4.543%. Uh upside resistance, this most recent pivot, 4.715%. Next up into gold and silver really didn't do too much today, down 1.33% even with the 10-year yield falling. That's not good news for gold. Getting still held down by this declining trend line. One I must point out that we highlighted here on July 22nd's Trading the Close. Go watch that video, understand all these different levels of resistance that predicted that we were going to likely trail this trend line down because there was just too much for gold to get through in one move like that. Next up, silver. Very similar occurrence, down about 2% though on silver. I'm in still anticipating silver to come down and tag this $50 mark, if not even pierce that $50 mark before we start seeing a little bit more of a sustainable bounce potential in silver. Now, keep in mind, guys, I still think there's a chance, even if I may pick up physical silver around 50 bucks. Notice what this parallel does, and I'll flip it to the weekly time frame. I'm still anticipating and planning. That's one of the best things, guys. Whenever you do take a trade, you got a plan. When are you going to get out? What's your goal with the trade? Most retail traders don't understand this. They They hear their friends say, "Hey, go buy S N D K." And it's like, "Okay, great. I I got it. Now what?" Well, guys, you got it. The best way to trade, go in with a plan. Go in with, "Hey, I'm looking to buy this until it gets to the top of the parallel channel, but I'm going to also admit to myself, what if I'm wrong? What if I'm wrong on this level and price continues going down? Well, I've got to have a strategy for that, too. Either stop out or I add to the position. Start in light enough so that I can start adding appropriately, not become over-leveraged, and anticipate this fall. That way, mentally, emotionally, I don't have any sort of problems holding the silver trade even though it may be going against me. So, again, back into this chart with silver on the weekly time frame, I'm planning to pick up some physical silver when price gets here to this trend line, but I'm also in planning to pick up silver should price come all the way down here to $32. That way, I'm protected. That way, I have a plan. That way, I have a strategy for when price does bounce, even if it only bounces at the 50 and never reaches the $30 level, well, then I'm okay with my trade. Uh next up, into US oil. Nice decline here, guys. Ripping through this level of support. Look at the 10-minute chart though and how it behaved around this uh level of support when it did fall down here early in the morning today. You can see the day started here, right here on uh Tuesday, July 28th at midnight, all right? When we first came down, look at all the jockeying that occurred right here on this trend line, even earlier uh or earlier than that, late last night. Um you can see price pierced it, got a bounce, pierced it again, tried to fight to get above, got above, and then ended up failing, tried and then ultimately this level of support failed. But, look how many times of going back and forth throughout the trading hours that it took for price to eventually break this level of support. So, now it's broken it. Next level of support likely can come anywhere right here on the low pivot range where we tagged today. So, we're into a near-term level of support, but then if this breaks, next level is down here at $72.70. Upside resistance will be this declining trend line right around 8647. And right now, this is totally news-driven. I don't have a technical angle as far as which way price could go there on US oil. Uh next up into nat gas, guys. Notice Notice where price has gotten to. Very dangerously close to closing underneath these low pivots. If that happens, a lot of the positive momentum that was put together in these months of trading of natural gas will have been eliminated. This key neckline would not produce a measured move for an inverse head and shoulders. It still will be a major breakpoint for nat gas, but you want to see nat gas do its best to only have one day close underneath the support level, and preferably not underneath these lows, and then march itself right back up if you're a bull. Otherwise, putting in a close underneath these pivots increases probabilities significantly for another move down to $2.53 as the next support. Next up into Bitcoin, not too new to uh not much new to report here on Bitcoin. We closed under the parallel yesterday, so far not confirming that break back down under that parallel. So, the battle tomorrow for any of the bulls on Bitcoin, 64,508. You want to get price above that, and you want to see price close above that. Anytime price continues to close underneath that parallel, no bueno for positive momentum on Bitcoin. Next up, I got Apple, guys. And I want to go over something that's pretty interesting with you guys. Well, first up, we got earnings. That's interesting, right? But what I've been doing most recently is I've been uh generating where price and trying to predict where price can go if and when price breaks out of these key parallel channels. Now, on Apple, you've got a parallel back from January of 2023. Now, yeah, we had a little deviation here, and that was a liberation day sell-off, but mainly price has been contained pretty well within this parallel channel. Now, we had a failed breakout, and then we seen a nice surge back up on the charts of Apple. So, what I've done is I draw in a parallel channel encompassing the angle in which price starts to break the parallel, and boom, yesterday and today, you can see clearly this area is a significant level of resistance here with Apple, $339. In essence, $340 right here on this trend line. It likely will take several days, and it's already taken two of price testing this area of the parallel to attempt to break up to go higher. Now, what's interesting about this, we have Apple moving up when other stocks like SNDK and MU and these others are under pressure. This has been kind of the lever that has been working recently. When those stocks are under pressure, money goes into Apple. Now, those stocks like SNDK we're going to look at are getting close to bouncing levels. So, that kind of tells me we're at resistance. We may see profit taking come in on Apple when we have money flow back into the stocks like SNDK and so forth. So, anyway, next up into GLW. As you see here with GLW reported earnings, but guys, this stock has been clobbered. Look at this nasty decline ever since back here at the end of June all the way down to today's lows, 57% decline, guys. That is really ridiculous and honestly due for a technical bounce. You can see with the RSI as well, down at 30.67 even with the close today at the highs. Now, notice these two trend lines that I've derived. The first one is from simply a high pivot back here March 25th high pivot connected over to these low pivots. That showed the support in which price was at right before earnings and breaking beneath it. So, that's our upside resistance near term. Now, where support came today was from also this low pivot, but it was from this April 8th low pivot and also connecting pivot to pivot and boom, what a beautiful bounce right here on that support level. So, for GLW, what it looks like for me for right now, it looks like the selling pressure near term could be a little bit over. We're due for a bounce as you saw with the RSI down there near 30. Next resistance $150.14. We very well with this big decline could see some sideways chop over the next couple days with margin calls, but then we likely are going to make a quick march back up, fill that gap, and then tag this level of resistance at $150. Uh next up, two stocks with earnings today, guys. We got BE reporting earnings after hours. Look at this pop up to $181.50. I told the guys in the live day trading room today, I was like, "Guys, I don't know about you, but this is one of the best rolling of the dice into earnings that I've seen in quite a while." Look when price was coming down here sub 159, I was scooping some up to roll the dice because guys, look at where price is coming into earnings. And look where it was over here in June 25th. Since June 25th, BE has nearly gone straight down in a line over 50% down. We are due for some sort of good news. And not only just the big move into earnings, but look at my parallel. So, I had a a a sharp decline into earnings with the support of the bottom range of this parallel channel. Even if price broke the bottom with earnings, it came down to this gap fill as next support. What happens when price breaks parallels, guys? It likes to go back up and retrace that parallel, making this area a very low risk scenario to buy to go into earnings. So, I've already banked that while I was waiting for this show to start today, guys. So, watch technicals, draw parallels. You can get these insights by just doing these simple things, drawing on your charts. And guys, I'm no artist, but I know how to draw trend lines. Uh next up, guys, STX reporting after the bell. Look at this lift off. That should help stocks like SNDK as well as MU. Next area of resistance that I'll be watching is to see if STX can get back above $850. That's from a key trend line back here from November of 2025 connected over to this pivot high in January of 26. You can see every time price came back down to it, it's since gotten a bounce. So, this level is a big deal on this chart. Be watching to see if they can even tag that potentially as early as tomorrow. You know, next up, SanDisk, guys. Another potential head and shoulders pattern, guys. Look at this chart on SanDisk. Left shoulder, head, and right shoulder. We confirmed that breakdown today. That does make resistance of that head and shoulders pattern at 1347.33 in the coming days. If we get a daily close above that, then you can negate that pattern. Major The measured move for that is down here sub $300, guys. That would be a substantial sell-off. One that I may add should get bounces along the way, including at the bottom of this parallel at $1,005. We'll see if we can eat even tag that tomorrow as that could be the uh near-term bounce up to the previous uh neckline here on the head and shoulders pattern. Uh next up, LIT also breaching the bottom of its parallel. Now, this one's a little bit more uh cloudy as far as just a simple buy scenario with a sharp sell from this high because price got here already on July 17th. Since price was so close, that refrained me from buying any sort of dips at least for now on this chart of LIT. Instead, I'll wait for a push down a little bit further sub $500. If it misses me, that's fine. But, in the near term, bulls want to see price on LIT get back above 678.42. That will increase your probabilities of price coming up and tagging the next key resistance here at $780. Uh next up, we got BlackRock guys. Look at BlackRock. As I said there's a rotation of capital going on here. Now after hours we've certainly come down pretty decently about 15 bucks, 14 bucks. However, notice this near-term breakout. Now we've already failed this before after earnings just the other week, but we find ourselves right back up in this breakout scenario again. See if we put in another daily close higher tomorrow, something we did not do on this previous breakout attempt, and that would secure the breakout and then target 1155 on the charts. Near-term support, even if we do not confirm, is down here at $1047.81 for another potential attack and move up higher. Lastly, we got a viewer request from Never Quiz Up, and this was from a request yesterday. And guys, I I do want at least say that I don't have the opportunity, at least for now, to watch some of the live chat and go through those Q&As and pull up charts while I'm on the live, but I do write down these viewer requests and I try to carry them over to future shows. If I don't and I'm not able to fit it in the current show. So, with that being the case, I've got a couple requests today that I'm going to roll over to another show, but first up this one by Never Quiz Up with NBIS. And so NBIS today retested this low pivot here from July 17th. Very similar to what was going on over here on the chart of LITE, right? Except for this price on LITE got very comfortably lower. This one didn't exactly. I would have felt better for a near-term bounce on NBIS had it gotten down today to the 155.90 level. Tagged this 50% area of the parallel and then proceeded up. But with today's close, we now confirmed ourselves back within this parallel and near-term resistance will be on this trend line, one that's already been broken before. So that's a minor resistance tomorrow at 189.77, followed by this top barrier of the parallel being a major resistance level just shy of $200. Near-term support down here at 157.52. All right guys, thank you so much for tuning in today. There are so many more stocks I want to go through with you guys. Got to wait for tomorrow unfortunately, but until then don't forget to like and subscribe. Send this out to your friends and family so they too can learn technical analysis on the charts. Thank you again guys. We'll be right back here tomorrow with Fed FOMC details, more earnings to report on. So can't wait to be back here tomorrow. Until then, see you guys on the charts. Take care folks. >> [music]