My Trading Game Plan | August 13, 2026

My name is Gareth Soloway and I was a
losing trader until I mastered technical
[music] analysis. Logic and charts beat
hype and narratives every time. Now I
teach investors the same [music]
techniques that made me a
multi-millionaire. This is my trading
game plan.
Good morning everybody. Welcome to my
trading game plan. My name is Gareth
Soloway, chief market strategist here at
verifiedinvesting.com.
As always, we're going to focus on data
and charts, no narratives, no hype. It
is what it is. We trade on probability
so that at least we can be the casino,
not the gambler. All right. So, number
one, PPI data just hit this morning and
that number again coming in slightly
better than expected. Now, PPI stands
for producer price index and basically
is a gauge of the inflation on the
producer side. So, yesterday we got CPI
which came perfectly in line with
everything. Today we got the producer
side from the consumer yesterday. So,
let's take a look at the numbers here,
guys. Take a look at what we have and we
see that producer price index headline
came in at 0.0.
So, that is a better than expected
number versus the forecast of 0.2%.
Headline PPI year-over-year was a little
bit better as well at 4.7%
versus the 4.9%
expected or forecast. Now, core core
month-over-month coming in 1/10 better
than expectations at 0.2% and core PPI
year-over-year was in line. That's the
only number that was not better than
expected. It was in line with estimates.
So, ultimately, guys, this is generally
a positive. Notice how in general we're
slowly seeing a rotation away from
expectations of a September rate hike
and I said this all along. I said based
on everything I've seen in the data and
everything I've seen from President
Trump saying that he wouldn't appoint
someone that was going to raise rates,
we're now starting to see that doorway
open where the Fed will be able to
potentially stay pat and not raise rates
in September. That meeting, by the way,
is September 16th, just over a month
away. All right, so that's number one.
We got CPI data. Now, let's take a look
at what the S&P futures have done on the
back of that. And if we look at that
chart here, this is the ES futures, so
the S&P futures. It gives us the
overnight data. This was yesterday, and
you can see overnight we were kind of
going sideways, then we began to float
up. Really starting around the midnight
area or just before midnight, we began
to float up. And here we are at the
highs of the session. Now, this is
interesting. In our traders meeting
today, which I have every morning at
8:00 a.m. with the traders, and by the
way, starting in mid-September, we're
going to do that live. It's where we
discuss all the angles. Jake, who's one
of our top options traders, he was
saying that the options were heavily
swayed towards a move today in the S&P
to the upside. Lo and behold, S&P
futures are trending up. We'll see if
that's the way it plan pans out. But
again, when we bring this to you guys as
a new show on YouTube at 8:00 a.m.
Eastern time, it should be very
informative going over all of the angles
of the other traders. What are they
watching to trade? I'm excited for it. I
hope you guys are as well. All right, so
S&P futures are near the highs of the
session. We're moving up decently.
Remember, if we go to the daily chart of
the S&P 500, we've been consolidating,
which actually reinforces that options
angle, right? Because the idea here is
is that this pattern formation from an
up move here with very tight
consolidation. And yes, there is a
resistance trend line just above, but
this is consolidating just below in what
we would refer to in technical analysis
as a bull flag. So, that gives me the
the general probability. And we talk
about being the casino. And remember,
the casino doesn't always win, just most
of the time. That's why casinos are so
profitable, right? And so, it's
important as a trader to understand
you're not going to always win. I
certainly don't always win in my trades.
I just want to win quite a bit more than
I lose, and that's why we focus on the
technicals because it strips away the
emotion. The emotion, every time I've
traded emotionally, I've lost money.
Like it's just I mean, I'm sure many of
you out there are being like, "Yeah, I
jumped on at the all-time highs. They
suckered me in, right?" I was the exit
liquidity. Well, that's what happens,
right? Our emotion is used against us by
institutional money. And if we can
control that emotion, we start getting
on the side of the institutions, doing
what the institutions are doing, and
therefore we're able to make money more
consistently, much like the
institutional money. All right. So, we
have this little bullish consolidation
pattern. Let's see if we break to the
upside in this session or tomorrow or
into next week. Is there a chance it
fails and comes back in? Absolutely. But
remember, it's a smaller chance that
happens than not. And that's again the
probability aspect. If we do fall, we
know our technical support, right? Very
obvious right down here. This would be
our technical level. If we zoom out on
this, notice this is that bigger
parallel that goes back to the lows of
COVID and the highs of the bull market
in 2021, and it kept the market in
check. Every pullback we got kept the
market in check at the lower level. The
highs kept the market restrained until
we broke out recently, and now this
level becomes support. Now, it doesn't
mean this can't break, but that was
That's until proven otherwise, that's
support. And you can see it worked
perfectly right here, and kissed it
here, and then worked right again here,
and the markets have then ripped higher.
All right. So, let's move on to the
dollar and the 10-year yield to see
exactly what's going on there, because
obviously those things get affected by
the PPI data, as well as remember,
yields are impacted by oil's price,
which By the way, oil is down. What do
you think yields are doing?
Right? They should be down. That's what
we've seen historically. So, the dollar
we'll start with this. The dollar is
coming in fractionally. Look at how the
dollar is holding on to this technical
trend line of support, pivot going back
to January through this low pivot in
May, and we've hammered on it multiple
times. Could this be building a bear
flag? Basically, the inverse of what the
S&P is doing? You better believe it. It
could be, and that could denote a move
to the downside on the US dollar. Now,
if we flip over to the 10-year yield, as
we discussed, oil is down, so the
10-year yield is coming in just a little
bit, and that is a positive. Remember,
not only is oil coming down good for the
stock market, but also yields coming
down, which happens with oil, is also a
benefit to the stock market. So, all of
these factors working together to give
us at least into the opening bell today
a positive S&P 500. Okay.
Next up, we're going to move on to
stocks in motion. What stocks am I
looking to potentially trade? What are
the big names here that are making big
moves? I'm going to tell you right now.
So, let's go into it here, guys. Cisco
Systems falling on earnings here,
beautiful little dip. The stock This is
actually a decent drop on Cisco Systems.
Their numbers were pretty good, right?
So, it the economic data, or I should
say the data on earnings, they did well.
It was their margins. All right, so
basically guidance had margins starting
to contract. And when you have a stock
that is up 150 plus percent in a year,
the size of Cisco Systems, which is a
half trillion dollar company,
they they can't afford to see margins
going down. Investors are going to sell
that, and that's exactly what's
happening now. The other thing to look
at here is we were basically trading
just off our all-time highs. More
importantly, look at this, guys. This is
one of the most fascinating charts for
me. If we go to our weekly chart, this
is your dot-com bubble high.
Okay? If we take that dot-com bubble
high, and we stretch it up to the recent
high, is it a bubble? Well, we don't
know yet, but it could have been. And we
bring this down, look at this, guys. You
have perfectly parallel low pivots right
down here before it started to take off
to the upside. And I find that
fascinating, right? To see that. So, we
really came up, if you looked at this
and you drew that trend line through
this point and this, we came up
basically a few months ago tagging that
high pivot. We pulled back, and by the
way, that's a day a weekly topping tail.
So, that's a bearish reversal signal.
You fell, then you retraced, now it's
starting to fall again. This chart
likely is headed lower in the coming
weeks and months. With the topping tail,
the parallel up here, it's going to be
very hard for the chart to break through
this level of resistance. So, it's down
today. Now, the question is, right,
we're talking more on a macro scale.
What about on a micro scale? Micro scale
means, okay, well, that's overall the
bigger picture, but what about a day
trade? Where would Gareth or his traders
be looking to trade Cisco today on a day
trading basis? So, let's go back to the
daily chart and take a look. So, we have
Here's where it closed yesterday. Here's
where it's trading in the premarket.
Basically, what I'm looking at is this
zone right down here. Now, if you're
really aggressive at 113.65,
there is a small gap fill and even down
to about 112 and change, but I'm going
to take the more conservative approach
here and really we look at this and this
area right in here below 109 down to
about 107.50.
That would be technical intraday
support. I wouldn't go long as a swing
trade here. I certainly won't be, but as
a day trade that might be a very solid
high probability bounce level. All
right, another name reporting yesterday
after the bell was COHR, Coherent,
another AI related ancillary play. The
issue here is it was down quite a bit
yesterday after hours, then it bounced
up, then it fell down again and now it's
bouncing up. So, it's off of its lows
already. I have to take note of the 327
low from yesterday after hours because
generally I don't want to pick a long
level ahead of that. Now, we know we
have a big gap here at 287. That's a
mile away. But, what I will be looking
at is this 327
area, right? So, isn't this fascinating?
See this gap right here? Right from this
close at 327 328,
the gap up yesterday and then it's
falling back in. If we go back to the
10-minute chart, what was the low
yesterday after hours? 327. Where was
that on the daily chart?
It was literally the gap fill. Now,
would I day trade it there? Maybe. It
would be a double bottom and refill of
the gap, but again, I'd have to be a
little careful. The next level down
would be around the 315
level. CRBS, now this is or CBRS, excuse
me. This is Cerebrus. This is a AI chip
stock again. Relatively new IPO getting
hammered on earnings. We flip to the
daily chart, you can see there's not a
whole lot of data as it debuted on May
14th. Now, it was rallying into
earnings, now getting hammered to the
downside. My first day trading level on
this is going to be here at around 204.
204 this pivot low. It's not that far
away from 216 here where it's currently
trading, but that would be my first
level where I'd be interested in a day
trade. Now, what about a swing trade?
Well, for me, there's not enough data on
this chart. If I was very aggressive,
and I probably won't, then the low here
at 160, I might nibble, but most likely
I want to get more information and data
on this before I really look at it as a
swing trade. Now, a couple stocks that
didn't have earnings, but are
fascinating to me, SpaceX. SpaceX had
this big rally up. You know where it
went yesterday? Right back to what I
would call the scene of the crime. Let's
take a look here at the chart on SpaceX
and look at this. The IPO opens here at
150, rallies up, comes down, hits once,
bounces, hits twice, bounces, hits one
more time, bounces, and then breaks
down.
It comes all the way back to that level.
And look, it's already falling
pre-market. This is a fantastic
resistance level. Look at how it was
support here. Once it breaks, what do we
know?
That's going to be resistance. That's
called the scene of the crime retrace in
my technical analysis. And again, it
should be a rejection point based on
probability. So, that's one to watch.
Dell, Dell is trending higher here. I
have this longer term ascending trend
line between 505 and 510, depending on
where it hits on the line. That should
be good resistance. The stock is at
all-time highs. What a move on this
stock in recent trading over the last
year or so.
And again, even when a lot of the other
AI stocks collapsed, this one only had
relatively minor a minor pullback from
this high, and it's right back to new
all-time highs. So, I'm going to keep an
eye on this as a day trade and potential
swing trade. I'll keep a close eye
deciding if there's a level up here for
a trade. Now, flipping over to oil, and
as always, we want to take a look at the
commodities. We'll take a look at
Bitcoin, gold, and silver, and natural
gas as well. But right now, oil is
coming back in, and remember, I've said
this since basically since we took that
short off that high pivot, which was a
beauty. Um once we get tighter in the
wedge, the risk reward because the it's
getting tighter and tighter, there's not
enough risk reward to trade it. So, I
just leave it be, and that's what I've
done here. And you can see here on the
chart, here's our wedge. All right, this
is where I bought it gap fill right
here. Boom. There was your gap fill,
extended move down, and this is where we
shorted it right up here, and it's came
back in. I'm out of the short,
obviously, and now it's just trading in
a tighter and tighter wedge pattern. So,
this is as I explained yesterday, this
seems to be we're at a stalemate. It
doesn't seem like the straight's going
to be open, but it doesn't seem like
bombings are going to take effect again,
and so we're just in a holding pattern,
very likely potentially till after the
midterms. And interestingly enough, the
wedge pattern on oil is kind of in that
holding pattern as well. It's
interesting how price is kind of
dictating the news here as well. All
right, so that's what we have on that
front. Let's look at natural gas here.
If we take a look at where nat gas is
trading, it is pulling back. Remember,
we had this level that was support and
support broke, resistance rejected,
resistance, and again, it's rejecting.
The question I have is is it a forming a
little inverse head and shoulders here?
I don't know yet, but I am keeping an
eye on it. And again, it is pulling
back. Nat gas is down about almost 2%
today on the day. Let's watch very
closely how this plays in the coming
days. Gold today stalling out. You can
see this trend line right here. Keeping
a close eye on this longer-term trend
line. We're just about there. That will
be major resistance between again 44 and
4,500. Um I'm expecting at some point
here a retrace. The question is how big
of a retrace. Um I would be interested
at at buying gold down here if it ever
comes back into that level, which would
be around 3900
on spot. Silver, silver did run into
resistance here yesterday. Notice this
longer-term trend line here through this
low, broke, then it retrace into that,
rejected, then it broke out of this
trend line, but ran right back into
that, and that's where price is
stalling. Let's see, but if you pull
back into this line on a technical
analysis basis, that would now be a
swing trade long opportunity. Bitcoin,
oh Bitcoin, it's still holding the
breakout, so that's a small positive,
but it it is pretty wild to see how dead
Bitcoin is. And listen, that's part of
the bear markets on Bitcoin. But again,
when you have all these other assets
going nuts, even gold broke out, and
silver's broken out, and the stock
market's near its all-time highs or and
has made new all-time highs recently,
and Bitcoin is just kind of
barely moving. Barely moving. Now, is it
the calm before the storm? I think it
is, and as long as we remain above this
descending trend line, I would favor the
upside on this pattern formation based
off probability. So yes, it looks like
it's dead, many people are negative on
it, which actually makes me a little bit
more bullish in the near term. Let's
watch and see. It still could come down
into this trend line, so we have to be
open to that. It could flush anywhere
along this line to retest the white
line, but as long as it holds that, this
again has broken above this trend line.
So I'll keep an eye close on that as
well. All right. So, we've gone through
a lot today. I really power pack these
episodes of my trading game plan, but
the idea is your time is valuable, and I
appreciate you guys always tuning in to
watch this. I love how literally almost
10,000 people watch live and then we get
so many views after that as well. It
means the whole world to me. I can't
tell you. Your comments, your shares,
your likes, your telling your friends
and family about it.
I do believe, at least for me, this has
changed my life in the technicals versus
emotionally trading and following what's
on social media. That's always a recipe
for disaster. I hope you guys find the
same and I'll continue, as will my team,
to deliver the best quality we can. Have
a great rest of your day, guys. Keep
rocking it. Let's go make some money.
Take care.