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Bitcoin Bulls Are Getting TRAPPED: The Charts Flashing Danger
Channel: Verified Investing YouTube
Watch on YouTube · 2026-08-24
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AI Summary
**Summary:**
- **Stock Tickers & Price Levels:**
- Bitcoin (BTC): Resistance at $25,000 (May 2021 high), support at $16,000 (November 2021 low). Target around $20,000-$21,000 (Bitcoin priced in gold).
- Ethereum (ETH): Resistance at $2,500, potential target around $3,000.
- Salana (SAL): Bull flag target around $0.012, resistance at $0.015.
- Bitbase (BTBS): Nick Valdez is currently in a trade on this altcoin, suggesting it might be oversold on smaller timeframes.
- MicroStrategy (MSTR): Diluted stock heavily, cash usage unknown.
- **Key Trading Strategy:**
- Nick Valdez is suspicious of the recent Bitcoin pump and wants to see confirmation above $25,000 before heavily flipping bullish.
- He is watching Bitcoin's interaction with the trend line extending from the November 2021 low.
- He is also monitoring Bitcoin's price action against gold and other assets.
- **Indicators Used:**
- Trend lines (support and resistance)
- Wick highs and lows
- Psychological price levels ($2,500 for ETH, $3,000 for ETH, $0.012 for SAL)
- Bull flags (SAL)
- **Entry/Exit Rules & Suggested Trades:**
- Nick Valdez is currently in a trade on Bitbase (BTBS), suggesting it might be oversold on smaller timeframes.
- He is watching Salana (SAL) for a potential breakout from the bull flag around $0.012.
- He is considering Ethereum (ETH) for a long trade if it can hold above $2,500 and potentially target $3,000.
- He is not actively suggesting trades for Bitcoin (BTC) due to his suspicion of the recent pump.
- **Timeframes Mentioned:**
- Daily charts for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Salana.
- Smaller timeframes for Bitbase (BTBS) to determine oversold conditions.
- **Risk Management Tips:**
- Nick Valdez emphasizes the importance of waiting for confirmation before heavily flipping bullish on Bitcoin.
- He mentions that exchanges are the winners in leverage flush scenarios.
- He does not provide specific stop-loss levels but suggests keeping an eye on key support and resistance levels for each asset.
Summary ready
Transcript
I grew up with nothing. Success felt impossible until I found crypto in 2018. I made every mistake, chasing hype and holding coins to nearly zero. I then found technical analysis and it changed everything. My perspective on this industry and my success within it. Now I'm passing that knowledge on to you. Welcome to Bitcoin Revealed, [music] the true story. Hey folks, Nick Valdez here, chief crypto strategist at Verified Investing. And today we're going to talk about where I think the Bitcoin bulls are going to get trapped. And we'll go over a live trade that I am in right now on a particular altcoin that might be a little bit oversold on the smaller time frames. And we might even touch on Micro Strategy. What did they do recently? They diluted their stock heavily, but what did they do with the cash? Did they buy Bitcoin or did they do something else? Everybody, now go ahead, smash that like button. I see your comments. We will get to Zcash. We'll look at some of your favorite altcoins. Just let me know down in the comment section what you would like me to cover. And I hope everybody had a great weekend. Like I said, make sure you smash that like button, everybody. Now, let's go ahead and talk about the major movers. And we're starting here with the Bitcoin chart. And this is the key level that I am looking at everybody. Now, we're going to run out this trend line and see where it interacts with today's price action. But look at this wick low. This is the November 2025 wick low. We had a nice little, you know, some were calling it the Santa Claus rally. We had a nice little rally, you know, right before Christmas. Little bit of a retrace and then had a nice pump into the middle of January. This is January 14th. And then we had a major correction here. Let's actually measure this. Uh this was pretty quick. About three weeks, Bitcoin fell 40%. Huge, huge correction, folks. And I'll also show you uh the Bitcoin gold chart. But first, let's look here. So, I want to show you this trend line. And if you extend this out, keep going. Keep going. Keep going. Look at that, folks. That's exactly where we would end up rejecting. Now, we did try to push a little bit higher today, but now Bitcoin is pulling back. And I would also keep an eye on this green rectangle. So it's the wick low here to the the high that we established in May. And then this to me is going to be a very important zone. I you know I'm I'm suspicious. I am suspicious. Don't be suspicious. Well, I am suspicious of this pump. And so I'm kind of watching this area and I want Bitcoin to confirm above that area before I would heavily flip bullish. everybody. To me, this is going to be very important right now about two factor resistance that I'm keeping my eye on. Now, also other altcoins in the market, folks. We got to talk about what we're seeing with Ethereum. But before we do that, there's one more Bitcoin chart I want to show you folks. And let me know if you like seeing these different types of Bitcoin charts. Bitcoin priced in gold, maybe Bitcoin priced against the S&P 500, you know, maybe Bitcoin priced in heck, who knows, you know, Chuck-E-Cheese tokens, whatever, whatever you want me to look at. But this is Bitcoin priced in gold. So, let's look at the number on the right. The number on the right is how many ounces of gold each Bitcoin buys. Now, only went back a few years. This is the 2021 run. This is the 2022 run. I'm sorry, the the 2024 run. And I want to show you the last bare market. So this is the bare market of 22 and 23. We actually had a breakout really close to the level that we're at right now. In fact, you could say the breakout happened at 16 ounces of gold and then we saw Bitcoin really take off where one Bitcoin would later be worth 40 ounces of gold. Now, right now, gold, in my opinion, is going to see a little bit of a pullback and all eyes are going to be on can Bitcoin pump while Bitcoin or can Bitcoin pump while gold consolidates or maybe even while gold dumps. Now, let me go ahead and, you know, be a little bit of a a contrarian to that take. We have a higher low with this bare market. So, we may we may need to have a higher breakout level. Maybe we need to break out. You know, if you look here, we kind of retrace to the last local high. Maybe we need to come up and then retrace back down to 17 and then we could have a nice run maybe around 20 ounces of gold, maybe 21 ounces of gold. So that's kind of folks what I'm going to be watching in the near term. Now let's cover some of these altcoin folks. I know you guys love these altcoins. Salana. We'll look at Salana. I'm reading the comments. You never cover Salana. Salana is actually probably my fourth largest crypto holding. Number one and number two. I almost don't want to reveal this folks. number. All right, because I'm embarrassed about number three. Number one and number two are uh hyperlquid in Bitcoin. Everybody should have more Bitcoin. You know, you should definitely be heavy Bitcoin folks. Hyperlid. Number three, I will leave it to you guys to try to dress uh you know, address in the comments. Give me a guess there, folks. And then uh you know, number four is probably going to be Salana. But first, let's look at Ethereum. This is what I'm looking at on the Ethereum charts. Here we have a descending trend line from this little local peak into this local peak. And if we continue to run this out once again, we have a nice trend line kind of establishing into the wick that we saw a few days ago and into today's wick. Now remember, Bitcoin's trend line was heading to the upside. Ethereum's trend line is heading to the downside, but Ethereum did outpump Bitcoin. I don't know if it's going to be ready for, you know, a major major alt season until we can see ETH, you know, really kind of hold above this $2,500 level. Some of you folks are throwing out some guesses. I'm I'm not going to confirm or deny, folks. We're not confirming or denying. All right. Now, but back to this ETH chart. If we continue to pump, I like this area right here. This is right around 3,000. You know, 3,000 is going to have a strong psychological level. You can see right here, this is 28,900. This is also pretty much 2870. Uh, and then if you look at the wick low, this is right around, you know, 2911. So, 3,000 and, you know, within a 100 bucks. A lot of eyes are going to be on that one. Now, do we're looking at Bitbase, everybody. So, big big shout out to Bitbase. I will reveal my trades and I'll show you the trade that I'm in right now. Now, let's look at Salana. You keep asking for Salana. Dang it. I'm going to show you Salana. Now, one thing we've been showing heavily with Salana is this bull flag. We have a nice little bull flag and I said keep an eye out on the bull flag here, folks. Well, how do you measure a bull flag target? Well, it's quite simple. You look at the flag pole and then you put it at the breakout. Now, some might say, well, the the flag can't go longer than the pole, etc. That's not true, folks. That's not true. Go into the charts. I'll show you example after example. But look at this target. Now, we did wick a little bit higher over the weekend. But speaking of the weekend, what do you see? right here. What kind of candle is this, folks? Maybe let me know down. I'm going to reveal it in like the next 10 seconds. Keep an eye out on this candle. This is a very important candle and I'll point you into a a video where you can actually watch, you know, maybe some expectations when you do see this target. But look at this nice little breakout. So, this is going to be a very key level for Salana. And also, we're kind of running into the wick highs right here. Gave you these levels, but folks, I'll be honest, we did wick a lot higher. This was a leverage flush. This flushed the leverage to the upside. This flushed the leverage to the downside. You know who won in this scenario? The exchanges. The exchanges are the one that won in that scenario. Now, Lton just put out a playbook on this. Trading Dogey candles for reversals. That was a dogee candle. It is technically a reversal candle. And when you see it on the daily, the larger the time frame, the more important is going to be. So, who said what? Lton said keep an eye out on the dogee reversals. You can kind of see it right there. It's on his green disc, I guess, his uh UFO table. That's like a table in a UFO or I don't know, matrix table or something. But right there, yeah, you can see the Dogee reversal candle. So, keep an eye out on that, folks, on the Salana chart. I mean, that is just a textbook dogee candle. Uh that's a very, very good one. In fact, folks, now it's not entirely equal to the upside and the downside, but is definitely close enough for strong consideration and a very very tight daily open and close. You It basically opened here with pinging ping. It bounced all around like uh you know like pong on Atari, but then would close just a fraction of a hair. Uh it's like an ants whisker to the upside. Now, let's look at XRP. I definitely want to show you this folks. This is fascinating. Fascinating on the XRP chart. So, I'm not using your regular trend line. I'm using the ray. Okay? You cannot hide behind the ray. You can hide behind ray bands, but you can't hide behind the ray, folks. Now, we're going to move the ray to the bottom of this wick. And we're at the the top of the wick right there. And when you move this ray down, wow. Holy smokies, folks. Look at that one. It's a very, very clean rejection on the XRP chart. And if you look at the daily, the daily is going to have a tough tough time closing in the green. So, I'm definitely watching that XRP chart to maybe close in the red. That one's not looking too hot, folks. Now, let me show you something with Micro Strategy. This is not the best uh let's just say information, folks. When it comes to Micro Strategy, Micro Strategy, they're a, in case you were wondering, large Bitcoin holding company. You probably heard of it unless you've been under a rock, folks. So their business model, buy a bunch of Bitcoin, sit on it. You know, you buy the stock, it's supposed to outperform Bitcoin, but when Bitcoin corrects, it also, you know, kind of outpaces to the downside as well as to the upside. Or at least that's the theory. Problem is, it seems like it's outpacing harder to the downside. So when Bitcoin's heading down, Micro Strategy is going down like while pressing the gas pedal. when Bitcoin's going up, Micro Strategy, it's like, you know, maybe uh we're running out of gas. We're not hitting that VTEC on that Honda Civic engine, folks. So, what are we seeing here? What is happening in the crypto market? Well, they diluted their stock even further. And this is one of the heaviest dilutions. Now, what do you mean by dilution? So, they're spinning up new shares to sell on the market. This increases the amount of Micro Strategy shares and they in fact increased it by $2 billion. You're going to say, "Well, don't they use that to buy Bitcoin?" Ostensibly, yeah, a lot of the times, but this to me seems like they're going to pay the dividend yields on some of their basically dividend paying instruments, the STRC primarily. So, they did repurchase some STRC. They spend $136 million repurchasing some STRC and that way they have to pay less dividend payments every single month. So they essentially have sold a lot of these shares. Every two weeks actually they have to keep paying dividend payments on it. Every month they're basically paying 1%. So it's supposed to pay about a 10% per year. So close enough, you know, with 1% a month. So every hundred million that they buy back, that's basically one less million dollars they have to pay every single month. And so they're not buying Bitcoin. They're actually buying back their STRC. And some say the STRC might be the downfall of Micro Strategy. I don't know if I would go that far, but you know, it's just maybe something to think about. Micro Strategy definitely diluting their stocks. Everybody, I like this guy. You know what? I like you too, Justin. I like you too. Not like Anyways, let's get back to the charts, everybody. Zcash, I see you talking about Zcash. I actually got roasted in the comments for this inverse head and shoulders. That's not an inverse head and shoulders. Yeah, I get it. It's It's not a clean structure. This head I don't I don't know what's in the head. I mean, it looks like maybe an Indian headdress. Like that's the feather or something. I don't I don't know. Something's going on here. But what about the target? Okay. Don't tell me about the shape of the head or the shape of the shoulder, you know? Oh, this shoulder, you know, is an 80s, you know, wardrobe with the with the pad there, and this one's, you know, it's a little bit softer. Well, let's just look at the target. Now, I I'll grant you not the cleanest head and shoulders pattern. I I do like cleaner patterns as well. Don't talk about my male pattern baldness. Dang it. But if you look right here, wow, look at that. Very, very close target right there. I mean, honestly, within about a couple bucks. And what's interesting about the Zcash top, this was the top for the previous cycle. Now Zcash is kind of marketed as a privacy Bitcoin and you know it's it's a pretty good marketable term. Hey, you know it's it's Bitcoin but with privacy and it's a little bit better off in the you know the the quantum mechanics world or when AI is breaking everything left and right. Zcash is more insulated. It's more easily upgraded against some of those future threats. And there's honestly a Zcash cabal. Uh the the Bologies, the Naval Ravenots, the the Chimath Polyhapatias. There's a lot they all kind of have something similar. But anyways, I digress. They all love Zcash. And a lot of those Zcash bulls do Diamond Hand, but there's also a lot of speculators. And it looks like in my opinion, they're taking a lot of profit on this one. Now, let's look at Cardono real quick. Uh you know, we're kind of running out of time here. I want to make sure I get into this chart. This chart very, very close here. There we go. Let's get that perfectly. Now, it did wick a little bit above, but and it it broke out of this parallel channel. Did not test the bottom. We we we took profit. Uh we didn't catch the tippy top. I think we actually sold it the next day. It was on a Saturday if I'm not mistaken. So, we sold near the top of the parallel channel. We were going to buy some uh more ADA down near the bottom. Didn't quite hit our target. But if you look at that, look at that. Maybe we can use the top of the parallel channel for support. And then maybe I would look to, you know, if if you are in some ADA and you just don't want to sell right now because of the red candles, maybe look at taking some profit right here. But hey, what do we have right there? We have another Dogee candle. Now, I do want to give a quick shout out to Bitbase. We've been knocking out these trades. I added, I think, four more trades today. Yeah, eight. Today's the 24th. More profitable trades. We made a couple hundred bucks. Uh, you know, I'm I'm going to reveal. This is Bitcoin revealed. That's right. That's right. We changed the name everybody. Revealing all the trades. This is the first page. This is going to be the second page here. Uh we have one little loss, but folks, we are smoking it. Smoking it like some meats in a up, you know, some canery or something. Uh you know, some nice trades, including we had the $700 win on XRP and I think we had one, you know, decent loss that I had to leave. This is 17:00. I had to leave at 5:00 PM, folks. I I just had to leave, folks. that would have been a winning trade and then just now open the fifth window. So that's what we're looking at with the bitbased trades there. We are uh in a trade right now. I could have I could have maybe shrunk the position here. I'll go ahead and you know let's not talk about Oh, okay. You won some trades, you know, two hours ago, give me something now. All right, I'll give you something now. Looking at zero. Zero is heavily heavily oversold here. Let's see. This is the five minute chart. Yeah, looks like we are down about seven seven and a half almost 8% last in the last couple hours here. Uh the the daily charts pretty interesting on this one too. Looks like maybe coming in to retest, you know, maybe nice little pivot area right here. You see this acted as support, you know, turn into resistance. Maybe it's going to act as support again. Looking at this one, uh you know, this is our break even. Actually, we're kind of in the green while we're live here, but uh you know, I might add to the order. Maybe I'll move it up. I'll chase it, folks. I ain't I ain't scared to chase it. And right now, uh, you know, so we'll be looking to close this one in the green. Keep the streak alive, folks. It's all about singles and doubles with trading. Don't go for those home runs. Don't go for that. Well, I got to 50x this and make my mortgage. Calm down a little bit. All right, but if you want to check out Bitbase, we do have a link down below. And in fact, you can go ahead and scan that QR code, folks, and that'll take you right to it. And we got some awesome bonuses up to 20,000 USDT if you're a whale. If you're a smaller trader, yeah, you're not going to get 20K for free, but uh really really nice bonus for the people who do sign up. So, go ahead, make an account if you want to jump in on some of these trades with me. And I might be in the live day trading room. Maybe maybe you'll see us, you know, talk about our entries, talk about our exits, talk about our strategy there. But I do appreciate you guys sticking around to the end. As always, let me know in the comment section what you want me to cover. Whether it's the Bitcoin ETH chart or maybe your favorite altcoin, we'll cover it all, folks. I do appreciate you sticking around. Hit that like button on the end and I'll see you in the future. Thank you very much.