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BITCOIN REVEALED: The True Story | August 27, 2026
Channel: Verified Investing YouTube
Watch on YouTube · 2026-08-26
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AI Summary
**Summary:**
- **Stock Tickers & Price Levels:**
- Bitcoin (BTC):
- Resistance zones: Around $79,000 (bottom of Feb 6th wick) and $82,500 (top of resistance barrier)
- Key moving average: 50-week moving average (currently around $27,000)
- Potential support: $27,000 (50-week moving average)
- Ethereum (ETH):
- Resistance: Around $1,650 (November and January highs)
- Potential support: Around $1,500 (broken flag pattern target)
- **Key Trading Strategy:**
- Analyzing Bitcoin's movement around the 50-week moving average to determine if it's the bottom of the bear market.
- Watching for bearish RSI divergences on Bitcoin's 4-hour chart.
- Monitoring liquidation clusters for potential reversals.
- **Indicators Used:**
- Relative Strength Index (RSI)
- Leverage longs and shorts data
- Weekly candles for historical analysis
- **Entry/Exit Rules & Suggested Trades:**
- Bitcoin:
- Entry: Around $79,000 with a stop-loss below $75,000.
- Exit: Around $82,500 for profit-taking.
- Potential trade: Short Bitcoin if it rejects from the 50-week moving average resistance.
- Ethereum:
- Entry: Around $1,500 if the broken flag pattern plays out.
- Exit: Around $1,650 for profit-taking.
- Potential trade: Short Ethereum if it breaks above $1,650 resistance.
- **Timeframes Mentioned:**
- 4-hour chart for Bitcoin's RSI analysis
- Weekly candles for historical analysis of Bitcoin's 50-week moving average
- **Risk Management Tips:**
- Be cautious around resistance zones ("speed bumps").
- Don't get trapped on the wrong side of trades; be agile like a fox.
- Use stop-loss orders to manage risk.
Summary ready
Transcript
I grew up with nothing. Success felt impossible until I found crypto in 2018. I made every mistake chasing hype and holding coins to nearly [music] zero. I then found technical analysis and it changed everything. My perspective on this industry and my success within it. Now, I'm passing that knowledge on to you. Welcome to Bitcoin Revealed, [music] the true story. Hey folks, Nick Valdez, chief crypto strategist at Verified Investing. And today, we're going to focus on Bitcoin in a key moving average that Bitcoin is testing right now. And we're going to go back in time and we're going to look at historically, what does this mean for Bitcoin? And that might give us a good idea to let us know, is this the bottom of the bear market? And of course, we'll check the liquidation heat map and we'll look at some of your favorite altcoins as well. And if you want, go ahead, type in the chat. Let me know what charts you want me to cover and if we have time at the end, we'll go ahead and throw them up on the screen. But first, let's start with the Bitcoin chart, everybody. We have Bitcoin coming into our resistance zone. And this is the bottom of the February 6th wick right here. Move so you can see it. Right here in the top part of the zone is this May peak. And so, this is established just a little bit of a barrier, a speed bump for Bitcoin. And remember folks, you don't want to hit those speed bumps too fast. You got to be careful around the speed bumps. But look at Bitcoin pushing into this area as we speak. Now, I do want to show the uh RSI here. So, we're going to go to the 4-hour. And Bitcoin's RSI, if it turns around pretty quickly, especially if we wick a little bit higher, we're going to have some very strong bearish divergences on Bitcoin. Let's go ahead and look at some of the other metrics here. Number one, we're going to be looking at the leverage longs and shorts. This is where Bitcoin traders are going to get liquidated, everybody. Very important number. Because you can see, often times when we clear these areas, Bitcoin will then go into a reversal period. So, we cleared this liquidation cluster, we cleared this liquidation cluster, and then we cleared another liquidation cluster shortly. This is pretty close to 78k, about 79 and some change. But then, look what happened here. Traders are getting greedy, and they're starting to open up some more trades. And so, that's what we're seeing here. And Bitcoin now pushing up into some other clusters to the upside. And folks, this is going to basically hit the top of our area that we are paying attention to, everyone. So, keep a key eye out on this one. You can see here, this is going to be roughly around 81,400. And it gives us pretty a room, a little bit of wiggle room here, cuz the top of the resistance barrier is going to be around 82,500. So, keep an eye out on that when it comes to Bitcoin. But let's talk about that key moving average. The key moving average for Bitcoin is the 50-week moving average. And so, what does this 50-week moving average mean for Bitcoin when you're looking at at the lens of history, folks? And so, we're going to be putting the binoculars on and looking back into the past here. A little little I was going to say a flash to the back flash to the back to the future. That's what I You know what I'm trying to say here. A flash a flash to the past a look to the past here. Bitcoin tagging the 50-week moving average. So, this is what we're seeing here. And Bitcoin right now at that 50-week moving average. And so, this is very important when you look at what happened last time. And so, this is the run-up for the previous bull market. This is going to be the October 6 high, and these are weekly candles that we're looking at here. And so, the 50-week moving average acted as support. 50-week moving average also acted as support. Now, remember, these are weekly candles, so it's not a surprise when you see some wicks down here. So, that means one or two days it was below, a little bit scary here. And so, again, this is when it's good to have a What do we call it? Hodlers mentality. But now we're kind of looking at a different scenario. Now we're looking at it not as support, but as resistance. And so, to really understand what's going to be happening here, we need to go back in history. We need to look at the previous bear market, and that's going to give us just a good idea of what might potentially happen, folks. So, let's go ahead and share 22 into 2023. So, this is the 2022 bear market bottom. And if you look right here, you can see one weekly candle above that 50-week moving average. This to me was to fake people out that that was the bottom, and what do you know, we would push down even lower. And then we would basically have our bottom, this giant red candle right here. This is the FTX collapse. All of these red candles right here, especially this one, this is Celsius collapse when Alex Mashinsky essentially stole a lot of people's crypto. We also have the Terra Luna collapse. So, just a lot of exchanges going down in this period. But then, what happens here? We have this 50-week moving average, and we reject off of it. But then, 1 2 3 weeks later, we shoot right past it, a starship skyrocket, you know, right above. And then what happens? Then it turns into support. And we already looked at this at the previous graphic, but I wanted to go back and show you. And then essentially pretty much a retest right here. So, the question is, are we going to be shooting above, or is this going to lead to a rejection? To me, this is maybe a potential sign that the bottom is behind us. Now, no one knows for sure, of course, because if they did, well, if they if they knew everything, they'd be a trillionaire, okay? They they'd have more wealth than Elon Musk. And so, we're kind of just kind of using the data points that we have, the data points that are available, and then trying to make the best decisions. But in my prediction, I think we are going to see a little bit of a pullback. I think we have to, you know, clear some of that leverage that I showed you earlier, and then maybe reject off of that resistance zone. And so just keep an eye out on that, and you know, you have people saying up, bull market's here, you know, it says up only. I think those traders are going to get trapped, folks. And you just don't want to be trapped. You don't want to be the the bear with his foot in the in the claw thing. You want to be agile. You want to be like the fox, okay? You want to be setting that thing off, and then you know, pull it pull your hand out before it hits you, before you get stuck, essentially. Now let's look at some other charts. Let's look at Ethereum here. Ethereum uh trying to break this resistance. Now you can see on the daily candle we are pulling back. So this is maybe suggesting that the bulls are running out of steam. And if you're wondering, you know, what is this resistance? This is the November high and to the January high, and you draw this trend line, it gives us this little level right here. But what flag or I already said it. What pattern do we have right here? It's it's kind of looking like uh you know, somewhat of a broken flag pattern, and it would break to the upside. That's what would break it right here. You can see the nice pole, and then you have the little uh chopping range right there. You do have ways of measuring this. Now normally, especially in crypto, I I would like the flag to to potentially move a little bit more to the right. I don't want just a a very very short flag. That's a That's a weird-looking flag. You You ever look at the flag chart and then there's like not all of them are rectangles. There's like a one or two weird ones. This is a little bit of a weird flag, everybody. But we do have targets. I'm not saying this is the breakout. I'm very suspicious, okay? They say don't be suspicious. I'm suspicious. And if you move straight across, it's going to kind of take us in the zone that we saw in December of last year. All right, let's look at a couple other charts. Folks, we nailed this one, and I gave this information out on the website. It's verifiedinvesting.com. We do have an app. Uh maybe perhaps put a little QR code for you. So, if you're on the App Store with Apple or if you're on Google Play, you can check that out. And I'll I will show you the article, folks. I'm I'm not going back in a time machine to throw these charts up. Now, it didn't exactly hit our level, but folks, we got about as close as possible. And so, hey, I'm just looking at the probabilities. We have a nice little ascending trend line from the wicks that we had seen in April and in May. And then, what do you know? That's exactly where we rejected. But, I felt like it pulled back way too hard. And I saw a little area of support. And where did I put this? I put this on our daily charts. Folks, this is all free. All you got to do is just sign up, folks. So, we don't charge you for any of this. XRP falls towards double support at $1.35. I gave you this on August 26th. You can see right there. We hadn't hit it yet. Folks, we were so close. We were so close. I gave you that one ahead of time. There's another trade. And don't worry. I'm going to show you one more trade that we executed. And then I'm going to show you an upcoming trade. And I'll show you the trades that we closed today. Now, this is the story of Sorry. This is Polygon. Polygon, I predicted the pullback, everybody. This is also on verified investing free trading analysis. This was under technical analysis and insight. I saw some resistance from the the peaks that we'd seen here in November and in January. I think this is actually technically late October. This was clear resistance. We hit that area. So, boom. One factor of resistance. So, this is, you know, we got a little bit of a probability here. Then we're adding to the probabilities. We added by seeing a 50% fib retrace. Now, I say "Fin." Maybe I was just talking about a French movie when it ends there. But, from the high to the low, boom. Little Fibonacci retrace right there. Now, let's go into the chart. and uh this is also another trend line that I saw. So, just had some key levels that we are identifying. We had the trend line. We had the 50% retrace, and I kind of want to measure this. What are we looking at for the Polygon correction? We're going to go to our measuring tool. Uh and this is all on BitBase, by the way. Big big shoutout to BitBase. So, if you do want to execute on some of these trades, I highly recommend check that out. We got all types of cool sign-ups. And in fact, we're actually trying to talk to them into hook you guys up even further with exclusive verified investing hookups there. But let's talk about the upcoming trade. What are we looking at upcoming? Now, >> [sighs] >> I'm probably going to regret this, but I closed this one, but I think there's still room. I think there's still room. In fact, it did end up shooting up a little bit higher. So, you might be able to get a pretty good entry. I already closed in profit here. But look at Solana. Solana, overbought. All right? This is one of the overbought oversold. We got overbought on this thing right here, folks. So, we got a nice ascending trend line, and it's wicking above, and I checked that liquidation heat map. It is clearing the liquidations here, folks. So, uh this is, you know, maybe a potential trade. Now, this I I would add into it. Let's Let's look. What else do we have? We go to the 4-hour. Similar to what we saw on Bitcoin, but Oh man, I don't like this, folks. I was looking at this, you know, a couple hours ago. I don't like that this RSI might be shooting a little bit higher, but if it does turn around, even if it goes to where this one is, that would still be hidden bearish divergence. Cuz the price is much much higher, while the relative strength index is not higher. In fact, it's potentially lower, and maybe even equal if it does continue to push up. But if we can continue to turn around here, let's go to the 1-hour here. What do we have on the 1-hour? Give it a second. It's just a lot of candles that we're looking at. Uh the 1-hour is higher. So, now, this one's uh you know, not as high probability. But like I said, I closed it before I went live. Uh we you know, we're able to pull off a little bit of funds here. Nothing crazy, mostly small trades. I had some meetings. Uh we had We had people storm into our office. I felt like I was under siege for a while. We might be moving locations, folks, to a bigger and better uh let's just say trading arena. And there's people like looking to to rent this place. So, we're about to go into a VI command console at some point. And so, as we're getting ready to move out of this office building, uh there's people like checking this Dude, these people came in here. They were loud. They're in the live day trading room. They're like looking at everyone's computer screens. And so, we we had a lot of meetings. We just had a lot of distractions. So, didn't end up closing some of those. Now, I see your comments here. Solana better uh flag there. Yeah, there is definitely some upside targets, but it might be overbought, everybody. Do you think ETH will go ETH will go back to 2K? That's a That's a $2,500 question. ETH does have a uh a nice little bull flag there. You know, not as good as Solana's, maybe. 2K? I don't know if it'll go that low. I'm I'm kind of looking It could So, here's Here's the thing. ETH has support at 2012. All right? 2012. Uh if you look right there, uh that's actually about 1969. Okay, what was that? 1973. You know what? Maybe. It might It might actually go uh to 2K if it does reject there. I could potentially see that in the cards, folks. Glad to catch you live. I'm glad you're able to watch live, everybody. That Solana trade was wild. Uh hey, imagine trying to go live. You're in meetings. I'm like setting limit orders, you know? Hey, trading can be a little bit wild. Do not trade with leverage unless you are experienced, folks. I say stay away. I demand you stay away. All right? And then so I'll throw in one more chart for you, folks. I see you requesting it here. It's going to be XLM. XLM Uh this one was the uh yeah, this is all the wicks that we were looking at earlier here. This one's going to be has some pretty nice support. Let me share my chart here. We go to the horizontal line, kind of just go to where we see it just reject, reject, reject, reject. It's like, you know, Young Jeezy at the club. That was me at the club. Rejection, rejection, rejection, rejection. Then we also have some nice support, nice support, nice support. And so right now it is it is support, but if we continue to knock on this door, well, that's where it's going to start, uh, you know, maybe potentially looking like a loss right there. I don't want to see it reject. All right, but that's our show for today. I do appreciate you guys hanging around, sticking around to the end as always. Bitcoin Revealed, we're not going to be back till Monday because we have Crypto Combat. All right, it's where we have the traders here. We got a first-time trader on tomorrow's episode. You're going to see Drew. Lawton's going to be back from vacation. He might be more tanned than usual. Where they trade with up to 200x leverage and we would never never ever recommend that. That is for entertainment purposes only, but make sure you check that show out. It's It's pretty interesting, folks. Oh, Hype, I did actually want to share the Hype chart. I'm so glad you said that. Uh, Hype, all-time high today. Now, I remember I've told you this is actually a top two crypto holding for me. I love love HyperLiquid. In fact, you know, I don't know if I love it more than Bitcoin, but Hype is, uh, you know, really really good asset in my opinion. Check out this Hype chart here. And then I have another key level I want to show you on Hype. And so kind of, uh, you know, trying to shoot past this area right here. And if it does, I have a target for you. I have another target. This is going to be the other target. So let's pull up our trend line. And no, wait, wait, wait, wait. Give me 1 second here. Here we go. Here we go. This one right here. So this is, oh man, look at this. This is just hitting all of our areas, folks. HyperLiquid's looking pretty good. Now, I have a worry. All right, some of you might be seeing it. This could potentially turn to an inverse head and shoulders. And if we do have a right shoulder, I expect this peak right here to maybe potentially act as support. As far as other targets here, HyperLiquid is just it's a very, very fast-moving horse. You got to be a little bit careful. Here we go, folks. Now, this one's a moonshot target. Moonshot target. And I'm going to tell you why I'm a little bit suspicious of it heading this way. I think $100, people are going to sell their HyperLiquid. I think people are going to try to front-run the move to $100. So, I wouldn't be surprised if we start seeing major sell walls right around $95, and then especially around $100. Retail traders are going to want to get rid of that at 100 bucks, folks. So, that's what I'm watching on the HyperLiquid chart. Thanks for throwing that one on my radar. I love some HyperLiquid. They use What is it? First, what is it? It's a decentralized exchange. They call it a DEX. Okay, not Dexter's Laboratory, not Dexter, the guy that's going after, you know, what. I don't want to say it here. DEXes essentially have a lot of fees that they make. And so, you trade on it, there's going to be a fee. They then apply that fee that they make from people using it, they apply it to buying the token, and then they burn those tokens, okay? They throw it in a fire, they get rid of those tokens forever. Now, there are going to be more tokens released, but overall, it is deflationary. The opposite of your dollar, which is inflationary. So, there's always more dollars being printed, but HyperLiquid is the opposite. They are shrinking the amount of HyperLiquid. It is one of my favorite ones. But, we're going a little long, folks. I do appreciate you sticking around to the end. Smash the like button on the way out. I love reading all your comments here. Chainlink looking good monthly. All right, we got the LINK Marines in here. Why not use a stop loss next time? I'm agile, and I try I'll use stop losses if I'm walking away from the charts. I tried to watch it, folks. I try to stay in tune when I'm trading these assets. That's all we have for today. Thank you for sticking around to the end, as always. I'll see you in the future. Appreciate it.