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AI momentum, nuclear power and policy risks shape the outlook 8/27/26
Channel: Morning Call Podcast
Listen to Episode · 2026-08-27
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AI Summary
**Summary:**
- **Stock Tickers & Price Levels:**
- NVIDIA (NVDA): Popped ahead of the opening bell, price not specified.
- Support: Not specified.
- Resistance: Not specified.
- Target: Not specified.
- Stop-loss: Not specified.
- ST Microelectronics (STM): Up 4% in Europe.
- Support: Not specified.
- Resistance: Not specified.
- Target: Not specified.
- Stop-loss: Not specified.
- Delta Electronics (6276.TW): Up 1% in Taiwan.
- Support: Not specified.
- Resistance: Not specified.
- Target: Not specified.
- Stop-loss: Not specified.
- Largan Precision (3008.TW): Up nearly 10% in Taiwan.
- Support: Not specified.
- Resistance: Not specified.
- Target: Not specified.
- Stop-loss: Not specified.
- Grand Pacific (6055.TW): Up 10% in Taiwan.
- Support: Not specified.
- Resistance: Not specified.
- Target: Not specified.
- Stop-loss: Not specified.
- Samsung Electronics (005930.KS): Up around 1.5% in South Korea.
- Support: Not specified.
- Resistance: Not specified.
- Target: Not specified.
- Stop-loss: Not specified.
- SK Hynix (000660.KS): Up around 1.5% in South Korea.
- Support: Not specified.
- Resistance: Not specified.
- Target: Not specified.
- Stop-loss: Not specified.
- SMIC (000981.SZ): Up more than 2% in China.
- Support: Not specified.
- Resistance: Not specified.
- Target: Not specified.
- Stop-loss: Not specified.
- Hua Hong Semiconductor (600595.SS): Up 4.5% in China.
- Support: Not specified.
- Resistance: Not specified.
- Target: Not specified.
- Stop-loss: Not specified.
- Zhaotai A shares (688114.SH): Up 12% in Hong Kong.
- Support: Not specified.
- Resistance: Not specified.
- Target: Not specified.
- Stop-loss: Not specified.
- MinMax (9899.HK): Up around 3.8% in Hong Kong.
- Support: Not specified.
- Resistance: Not specified.
- Target: Not specified.
- Stop-loss: Not specified.
- Advantest (6857.T): Down more than 3% in Japan.
- Support: Not specified.
- Resistance: Not specified.
- Target: Not specified.
- Stop-loss: Not specified.
- **Key Trading Strategy:**
- Focus on tech stocks, particularly those related to NVIDIA and AI.
- Consider European and Asian chip stocks due to NVIDIA's influence.
- **Indicators Used:**
- Not specified in the transcript.
- **Entry/Exit Rules & Suggested Trades:**
- No specific entry/exit rules or suggested trades were mentioned in the transcript.
- **Timeframes Mentioned:**
- Daily/Intraday (e.g., "ahead of the opening bell," "end of the day").
- **Risk Management Tips:**
- Not specified in the transcript.
Summary ready
Transcript
You've put off that upgrade long enough, during the Hyundai upgrade your ride sales event, finance a new Kona or Elantra from just 0% and get a $500 bonus on select models. And with the Elantra Hybrid's best-in-class fuel efficiency, you can also save at the pump. Upgrade today, event ends September 30th. Based on natural resources Canada fuel consumption ratings, conditions apply, visit HyundaiCanada.com or your local dealer for details. AI is here, transforming how we work, live, and lead. And the women I talked to aren't waiting for the future, they're shaping it. I'm Julia Borsten, senior media and tech correspondent at CNBC. This is CNBC Changemakers, where I talk with the female leaders transforming business. As AI reshapes the world. Follow and listen to CNBC Changemakers, Women Leading in the Age of AI, wherever you get your podcasts. I'm Dominic Chouin from Morgan Brennan, and this is your morning call. Good Thursday morning, Friday Eve, we'll call it. US equity futures right now, after a mostly lower session for stocks yesterday, are seeing some signs of life, although we're seeing some things pedering out just a little bit. The Dow has turned slightly negative in just a few moments or so, just the last few minutes. It's down and applied lower by 25 points. The S&P though, implied higher by 29 points, and the tech heavier Nasdaq 100 trade, boyed by what else in video, up by about 340 points. Now, Treasuries, with the two and 10-year yields now sitting at December 2025 highs, we are currently seeing a tick lower, slightly in those interest rates, so higher bond prices lower yields. The benchmark, 10-year note yield, 4.66%, the two-year note yield, 4.22%, and the 30-year long bond, 5.18%. Crypto, with Bitcoin and Solana, both on pace for their best months since November of 2024, we are seeing a bid to those prices again. Bitcoin currently $79,732, so trying to push back above that $80,000 mark, Ethereum prices up 2.5% to $2530, and that aforementioned Solana up 8% to 104 and change. Energy prices, a key focus as you're on in the US, still have this conflict and war going on in the Middle East right now. You can see US oil prices down half of 1% to $81.90, Brent Crude, the world gauge, $87.55 off about 1.3% of 1%. Note on diesel prices by the way, according to AAA, we're now just 19 cents away from a record high in diesel prices, so a lot of ripple effects there from transportation to a lot of other industries, we'll keep an eye on that. Now to our market story, the top one today. Shares of NVIDIA popping ahead of the opening bell after an initial post earnings dip, the chipmaker out with its biggest revenue beat in two years, earnings also easily topping expectations here, while second quarter gross margins continue to somewhat underwhelm. But what's really taking the street by surprise is NVIDIA breaking with tradition, giving a full year out guide. The company says it sees revenue growing by an estimated 70% next year versus estimates calling for a just 44% to 45% increase. That 70% by the way is with constrained supplies, meaning demand is even higher than that, NVIDIA just can't make enough product to meet all of the demand. And for all the worries about hyperscaler concentrations, NVIDIA says while that segments revenue more than doubled in the quarter, the everyone else bucket grew even faster at 138% year over year. Here is NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang speaking with our own Jim Kramer on Mad Money last night. We're seeing AI being adopted all over the world. Every single country wants to get involved. Every country needs, every company wants to get involved. And so half of our business is in the hyperscalers, and the other half of our business is everything else, it's neoclouds and sovereign clouds and enterprise companies. And all of this is all growing at the same time. And this is all happening, of course, at a time when we're rolling out, Vera Rubin, our next generation product. It's going to be the fastest ramping product in our history. It's really exciting. All right, so among some of the other highlights from the report, the company continues to push back on fears of circular financing and says it spent $26 billion on buybacks and dividends in the quarter with more planned for the months ahead. This last quarter bought back 60%, and we're going to increase that going forward. So I think we're, we feel the same way. Buying back in video stock is a tremendous opportunity for us. All right, we're watching the reactions to Nvidia and the chip sector more broadly around the world. Let's now check in with our Karen show and Elaine U with the action from Europe and Asia and Karen. We're going to begin with you. Good morning, Dom. A lot of heavy lifting from the tech area here in Europe. The broader European stock, 600 index is actually trading in the red than about half of a percent and fairly early trade. There's those big blockbuster numbers though from Nvidia really providing a much-needed boost to the European tech stocks. Attention, of course, also turning to Fed Chair Kevin Warsher's speech from Jackson Hole, which accounts for some of the broader sentiment softness you're seeing today. It's just the DAX impulsive territory. But if you take a look at those European chip stocks, really basking in the glory of Nvidia's bumper set of the second quarter results and the upgraded guidance for next year that you're spelling out that 70% bounce in revenue. The likes of ST Micro, one of the big movers here in Europe, don't forget, it provides power management and sensing components for Nvidia. We're hearing from Jensen Huang about Vera Ruben. High intensity when it comes to power in that technology, ST Micro is seen as one of the beneficiaries. That stock up 4%, others also connected indirectly in the ecosystem all on the move today as well as some of the clean energy providers here in Europe back to you, don't. All right, Karen Cho, with the latest out of London there with the action on the chip side of things to the overnight action in Asia and our Elaine, you and Hong Kong with the latest there and the Nvidia ripple effects have pretty much gone global. That's right, Dom. So tech shares in Asia are mostly in the green after and videos results beat estimates. Let's start with Taiwan. The TIEX is up 0.3% top contract at Maker TSMC edge higher earlier, but it did close fractionally lower. Now Delta Electronics, another major Electronics manufacturer climbed 1%, an Apple supplier and smartphone lens maker Lagan precision, which partnered with TSMC to develop co-packaged optics for AI data centers. That surged nearly 10% as did Grand Petrochemical, which is another company that has partnered with a Japanese industrial gas maker to go into the semiconductor specialty materials. That also up 10%. Now, in terms of South Korea's reaction, the cost be climbed 1.5%, Samsung Electronics also up around that amount and SK Heinets up even more to 1.5% higher. In China, the tech heavy star 50 climbed nearly 3.8% and we see the chip names benefiting as well. SMIC is up more than 2% and Hua Hong, the second biggest foundry after SMIC also climbing 4.5%. Let's look at the Chinese LLM developers listed in Hong Kong as well. Zat.ai, or also known as Jipu, surged 12% while its rival Mini Max is also up about 3.8%. But there's an outlier here. Japan's Nikkei 225 reversed early gains today to close in a little lower and the main drag is actually an Nvidia supplier advantage, which is down more than 3%. An analyst say that markets are still cautious here about the chip names, especially after a sharp rise in the first half. Back to you. All right, Elaine, you with the latest out of Hong Kong. Thank you very much for that. Join me now on set here as Dan Ives, partner and senior managing director over at Yorkville Ives and company. We obviously talked to you about all things tech these days. But Nvidia has been a company that you've keyed on for years at this point now. When you take a look at the results, we know what the numbers were, but it seems as though to me, Jensen Huang understood the assignment. We heard all of the quote unquote concerns about what Nvidia could do to even precipitate some kind of a stock drop and he addressed every single one of those concerns during the course of either the earnings release or the earnings call itself. Did it play out that way in your mind? Did he tick off all the boxes? Yeah, look, I think you could take that press release, print out and hang in the loop. Because to some extent, I mean, I think what Jensen saw is that he understood from a guidance perspective, the circuit of financing concerns. But Tom, I think the biggest thing is just demand. I mean, if you just look at the acceleration of demand that we're seeing in AI, no one has a better perch than Nvidia and Jensen. And I think it's almost all a jigsaw puzzle. You think about the hyperscalers and you think about some of the software companies I'd palantir, look at the memory players. But this was the Super Bowl. It's what does the Godfather of AI, Jensen and Nvidia say. And that's why this, it just puts more fuel in the tech rally going to the rest of the year. So the new concern might actually be that Nvidia cannot grow fast enough to satisfy certain investor expectations because it's said on the call that they could grow even faster, but for some supply chain constraints that are elsewhere down the system, is that something that we have to now worry about? Or do we feel as though there'll be an equilibrium reached over the course of the next few quarters or so? Yeah, it's great. Look, we don't think core equilibrium, you don't hit probably till early, 2029, maybe lead to on 28. Demand the supply today is called 12 to 1, you know, for chips. Because the reality for Nvidia, I mean, that it's a high class problem. Supply will clearly be an issue. Remember, this is without China. I mean, that's what's unbelievable about it. And I think if you look at the acceleration that we're seeing in demand, you put all together. Anyone that worried about monetization and circular financing, it comes down to what you enterprise demand, what does it look like? And that acceleration that you saw, I think that was really the explanation mark for the tech sector. All right. And just, if you just hold one second here, we've got a news alert right now with regard to some kind of headlines coming. This is coming from Politico, all right. They're saying that the Trump administration is weighing a new round of sweeping tariffs on semiconductor companies. The story goes on to talk a little bit about the detail. The administration is weighing that new round of tariffs on semiconductors. This is according to eight people familiar with the discussions speaking with Politico. The tariff approach, one tariff approach under consideration would dramatically expand the number of tech products, subject to duties, hitting not just chips, but potentially many of the goods made with them like laptops, gaming consoles, or servers that fill data centers. Interesting headlines coming out. This is at a time when there is a massively competitive dynamic developing between the US and China for tech and artificial intelligence supremacy. How exactly do you think the markets will take something like that into play? And what exactly is the administration thinking in your mind about why they would want to do this at a time when the US is trying to seek that dominance? Yeah, market will take in stride because it's a continued sort of shot across the bow that you're gonna see from the beltway. Look, the reality is is that US and China, they're in an arms race. And for the first time in 30 years, it's the US that actually has the lead because of Nvidia, because of what we see with the hyperscale is pounded here and others. But this is gonna continue to be the sort of tug of war that we go on. But the irony, and I think Jensen would talk about is that by not selling into China and you put these tariffs on, the one that ultimately wins is China tech in Huawei and what we see in terms of playing out in China. And now it's gonna be this balancing act, almost a quagmire that the administration's looking at because you don't wanna cut the knees off of big tech just like we see what's playing out in the market. All right, speaking of big tech, Nvidia's not the only story on our radar right now. We got other stories as well. Sales force, another Dow component reporting their results. Those shares up 11.5% earnings and revenue beat. It also boosted its full year sales and profit forecast as well. The company says it's expanding its AI partnership with Anthropic calling it quad force. And then by the way, there's meta platforms agreeing to pay as much as $18 billion over the next decade to settle lawsuits claiming it designed its apps to be addictive to children and teenagers. The company says it denies any wrongdoing and promises to tighten safeguards and usage limits as well. Meta platforms off one half of 1% in the pre-market trade. Sales force an earning story and outlook. Meta, a legal overhang being removed. How exactly do those two stories rate in your mind? Yes, maybe a little less than Nvidia given the market kept weight but they still have to carry some significance on tech investing sentiments. Goldilocks night for tech because sales force bending off back against the wall, right? And this was something very important to show. It's not just about chips, about software players that ultimately benefit from the AI revolution. So I think that that was a huge step forward that you saw there. Crowd strike another example on cyber security. Just showing that I'm second third fourth derivative is playing out across tech. And with Meta, it was a black eye moment, right? This was something that they definitely had to put this in the rear view mirror. That's another sort of positive for tech. You put this all together as a tech investor. You know, the bulls continue to sort of win. The bears, they're watching this from hibernation moon. They can find AI in the spreadsheets. And one last point here, we talked a lot about over the past year the SaaS apocalypse, this AI disruption of software companies. It doesn't seem as though it's playing out as much right now. And companies like Salesforce are trying to take advantage of it by partnering with companies like Claude and Anthropic. Does that help alleviate the fears and concerns about that SaaS apocalypse? Oh, clearly. And I think Pound Tier was another huge example of it. That was a fictional narrative. There will be software coming as distance mediated. But we continue to think and are, you know, go back to late 90s. It was one of the most head scratching sell-offs we've seen because ultimately software is going to be the part of the hearts and lungs of the AI revolution. All right, Dan Eips, you're going to stick around. Thank you very much for that. We're going to see you later on during the morning call crew when it assembles. We're going to hear more on metastatlement as well when the California Attorney General joins a squawk on the street in a first on CMBC interview at 10 a.m. Eastern time that's Rob Bonta. And then Florida's Attorney General weighs in on a CMBC exclusive on fast money at 5.30 p.m. Eastern time as well. A lot of top law enforcement officers in the states a lot more to come here on morning call including a cyber security stock surge for shares of Octim plus a peltz problem that has shares of Wendy's sinking ahead of the opening bill. And then later on, Lisa Cook responds to the president's latest attempt to unseat her at the Fed. We've got a very busy hour still ahead when morning call returns after this commercial break. A key September jobs report after the Fed's first rate hike in three years will the labor market show signs of cooling the new numbers and what they could mean for the economy, swap box Friday 8 30 a.m. Eastern and streaming on CMBC plus. Welcome back to morning call checking some of the big stock movers of the morning so far, Octa shares jumping around 20% after second quarter results top estimates as AI threats are leading to a spike in demand for identity security, Octa CEO telling CMBC that the opportunity is still very much in the early stages those shares up 20%. Urban Outfitters is lower despite reporting second quarter earnings and sales that were in line with expectations excluding one time benefits from tariff refunds. Stamestore sales led by its free people brand, which is solid wholesale growth in sales to specialty retailers and department stores is helping the case there, but Urban Outfitters down 3.5% pre market. HP is sliding as a drop in PC shipments and margins is overshadowing stronger revenue growth in the company's third quarter. Price increases were not enough to help HP offset rising costs for memory chips, those shares down 10%. And CrowdStrike is moving higher. Second quarter results beating forecast and the company is raising its revenue guidance for the year on continued demand for its cloud-based cybersecurity platform products. CrowdStrike shares up nearly 9% in the pre market trade. Well straight ahead on the show, the tiny trend in nuclear, getting a big boost from the Pentagon, but first, it's been a solid month for the market's eight of the 11 sectors in the S&P 500 are in positive territory for August. Materials is the top performer up nearly 8% driven by a surge in precious and critical metals prices like gold, silver, and copper. The biggest gainer in the sector is Newmont, which is up more than 40% it's on track for its best months in September of 1998 when it's soared more than 75% Newmont Corp just down about fractionally in the pre market trade. Morning call is back after this. A key September jobs report after the Fed's first rate hike in three years will the labor market show signs of cooling, the new numbers and what they could mean for the economy. Swat box, Friday 8.30 a.m. Eastern and streaming on CNBC Plus. All right, welcome back to Morning Call. A tiny new trend is taking shape around nuclear energy and it just got a big boost from the US government. The US currently has 94 existing nuclear reactors with each able to power around 1 million homes. But a lot of companies are looking to shrink down the size of these massive facilities like the ones you're seeing on your screen. Reactors that can fit on the back of a truck perhaps and power 500 to 1,000 homes, that's a big deal or even industrial and government sites. The US Army just yesterday selecting five companies to build these mini reactors at army bases across the country, including our next guests company. Tori Shivanandin is the president and COO of Radiant Nuclear. This is an interesting deal because you went through a competitive bidding process which implies that there are a lot of competitors out there who are trying to do this kind of thing. You were one of the companies selected to provide these small modular nuclear type facilities for an army base in particular. How big of a deal is a $750 million contract to a company like Radiant? I'm very excited to be here to talk about this deal. I'm Tori Shivanandin, president and chief operating officer of Radiant. What do we make? We make one megawatt microreactors transportable by land currency. And yesterday we awarded $750 million for 15 reactors. That's almost one third of the overall Janus project budget. And when I think about it, what is the big deal here? It's that the army has come out and said not only do we need nuclear, but we need it in a new way. Not only do, you know, when I think of SMRs, I think of them as a false category. A five megawatt reactor might be as big as a Walmart. That's not small. And it's certainly not modular. In the way that Radiant has prepped our product, Kaleidos, which just shipped our development unit to the Idaho National Abdom last week, it's that the entire unit can fit on a truck and a customer needs that. If you think about what it takes for a customer to buy energy, the asset that they're procuring, we can talk a lot about the state of the American energy grid, but you have to keep it really simpler for customers. And that is a reactor in a box. So a reactor in a box is even smaller than some of the concepts that people have been dealing with, with regard to how to power America's energy future. The US military wants these because they want independent power sources and the availability for access to power at each one of their bases. It could be a continuity issue. It could be a strategic issue. I wonder though, from your standpoint, this is the beginning of something that could grow bigger. What exactly is the use case for these types of products and what types of industries would you then move on to target now that you have a military feather in your cap? Yes, so if we talk about the American grid, it's really the whole use case here. You have generation, transmission, and utilization. And 45% of Americans had one power outage minimum last year. For a business, that can be catastrophic. And the Army is staring this problem straight in the face. And I'm very grateful for Dr. Jeff Waxman and the DIU director, Owen West, for taking a bold and fearless stance on how to solve this problem. And what we're at radiant, what we do with the reactors that we solve generation and transmission on the customer site. And for a military base, that can be everything from critical infrastructure. It can be to backup assets. Or it can also just be to keeping the lights on in hospitals and the grocery stores as many American military bases are large municipalities. But the military has energy issues here in the US and also abroad. And this bold leadership and this bold award are really about saying, hey, America knows we need nuclear. It's been a topic of conversation for a while now. But how we need nuclear, that's what's different about what we're doing here. We do this. It's an interesting juxtaposition having you here with us right now on the heels of NVIDIA's earnings report. Because much of that nuclear discussion around power has been around powering AI data centers. How exactly does that factor into your future business calculus? Yeah, so what I like to say is radiant is power in a box. However, you can use it is the real use case. So data centers are absolutely a part of our future. However, there's also 70% of the US energy market that aren't related to data center energy use. And that's a fantastic customer that also needs nuclear today. Energy prices continually increase. And it's not for lack of trying. It's that the system itself is broken. And we need to create products. And nuclear will be a part of the solution. Collidos, we'll have thousands of them one day, where we're addressing both generation and transmission. And so be at a data center, absolutely, or a grocery store, a hospital. Anyone that needs energy can use a collidos reactor. All right. Tori, Shivan Andin, thank you so much at Radiant, the president, and COO. We appreciate it, and thanks for joining us. Thank you very much for having me. I'm really excited about the future. All right, let's go. Let's still on deck for the show here. Reaction to Bill Gates and his dire AI warning and why some CEOs are pushing back on predictions of massive job losses across the global economy. Morning call continues after this. We have to do a better job of technology industry. The builders, and have to do a much better job working with the communities to get prepared for this AI infrastructure buildup. Taking a step back. This is America's great opportunity. This is an extraordinary opportunity. AI data centers, AI factories, are generate so many jobs all across America, hundreds of thousands of jobs. They're improving communities because they're bringing a lot of tax dollars and bringing a lot of economy into communities. I'm Dominic Chouin from Oregon, Brennan. Welcome back to morning call. We're going to start with US equity futures, which are somewhat mixed right now, although just slightly negative for the Dow. The S&P is still up about 29 points and plotted the opening bell. The tech heavier Nasdaq trade up about 330 points. Now the big stock story of the morning of course driving that tech trade is in video popping. Ahead of the opening bell, after an initial post earnings dip, the chipmaker out with its biggest revenue beaten two years, it's also guiding a full year out, seeing revenue growing by an estimated 70%. The next year, even with constrained supply chains versus estimates calling for a 44% rise. Now look at some of the other chip names on the back of NVIDIA's results and a report from Politico that the White House is weighing a new round of chip sector tariffs right now broadly to the upside here. Broadcom, advanced micros, Samsung, Taiwan, SMA, ASMR, all up roughly one to two percent in trading so far. Checking some of this morning's latest headlines now, Fed Governor Lisa Cook pushing back on President Trump's renewed threat to remove her from the central bank. A lawyer forecooked telling the White House in a five-page letter that allegations of mortgage fraud against her quote unquote remain unfounded and untrue. Noting that President Trump and other administration officials including Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Attorney General Todd Blanche have been accused of similar conduct in the past. NVIDIA has agreed to buy hugging face for around $13 billion according to multiple reports, the apparent deal for the open source AI model hub would give NVIDIA a strong position in that AI space. The deal reported it comes with about a month after hugging face was hacked by an open AI model that went rogue and broke out of its confines. And shares of Wendy's are sinking following a Reuters report that Nelson Peltz's tri-end fund management has no current plans to make a bid for the burger chain. The report says that tri-end has concerns about Wendy's performance and its current strategic direction as a result those Wendy shares off about 13% in the pre-market trade. Now we continue to track the fallout from Bill Gates' AI warning while he still sees the promise of AI. Gates is now shifting his tone saying the tech industry has crossed dangerous thresholds without proper guardrails. Gates highlighting key risks including mass job losses and increase in geopolitical and cyber security threats and psychological and educational harms as well. Gates is proposing potential solutions like taxing AI tokens and robots and designating certain jobs as quote unquote human reserved. Now speaking on CNBC yesterday andthropic CEO Dario Amade addressed worries about job losses tied to artificial intelligence specifically on that aforementioned in the show SASPocalypse Trade. We're not interested in destroying anyone. We think of this as a very positive something. That's the way markets work. We're creating new value here. And the question is just, it's not about destroying anyone. It's about how much of these enormous gains go to various people and various companies. All right, joining me now is XIE partner at offline research and a former engineering leader at both Google and Microsoft. This is an interesting conversation because what we have right now is a scenario where we know that there are issues with AI, it's deployment and there is no real plan. We are just trying to push full steam ahead. Is this going to be something that we have to pay more attention to and will it be enough to start putting more guardrails in place on a more formalized basis? So I think right now the place that we're at with AI and what Bill Gates was calling out in his letter is that we're at a moment where we have to ask ourselves are humans more important than the machines that we've created. And if we are, how much more important? What Bill Gates calls out in his letter is that in the next 10 years there's going to be massive disruptions to employment and to the system through which we exchange value in society, right now humans access resources through exchanging their labor for value that they use to pay for things like water, housing, et cetera. So if we don't have a plan and we continue moving forward at this pace according to him and his letter, what'll end up happening is we'll end up with less jobs than we create and end up in a position where we have no system of value exchange to support those humans actually accessing those resources. So he calls out folks who are already having a hard time having access to those resources are the most vulnerable with these systems. And so moving forward, how do we solve this? We do have to think about regulation in a formal way, the same way we did with cars. We can split that up in three parts. One, how it's built. We understand that if a car is built in a faulty way, the manufacturer is at fault, we should have that for AI as well. So if AI gets out on the market that can be used to become a bio weapon, the manufacturer should have some liability there. We regulate cars in the way that we use them, how we drive. If I speed through a red light, I get a ticket. What happens if someone uses a model to do something bad should be the actor's fault. And then the last thing is we intentionally assign liability in cases where responsibility overlaps. So if I run into the back of you, it's my fault in the car accident. So if two models end up hacking a system or messing a transaction up, how do we assign that liability? And if we look at it across all of these domains, medicine, education, finance, et cetera, that he calls out his high risk, taking that approach, we can find a quick way to start implementing guard rails that don't slow down innovation, but allow us to put some human protections in place. Now, that sounds fine and dandy, but you're talking about a closed ecosystem, say like one country. We now have multiple countries and two in particular in the US and China, who have maybe very different views about how to regulate and develop and at what pace and speed to do this at. If there is any way to make those things, I guess more of a consensus type decision, that would be great, but we know fully that human nature is not gonna be like that and governments aren't odds with each other. So how exactly then do you solve that problem if all of these countries want supremacy on their own? Well, I think the challenge here is not about supremacy in so much as it's about what are the rules that we agreed to by which we fight? I mean, technically, we could go around dropping nuclear bombs on each other, but there are rules of engagement that we've agreed to as humanity because we place our value as a species over values of powers of individual collectives or governments. And so we have to make those agreements now. Are we going to allow countries to use AI to develop designer bio weapons? It's been called out already in research papers this year that were published in Frontiers in Microbiology that AI can be used to accelerate the next pandemic because it can generate multiple viruses simultaneously and release wave after wave of infection. And so we have to come up and be realistic that yes, this technology can help us send emails faster. It can also help us create new vaccines for cancer as we're seeing. It also, we have to address its shadows and the capability that can be there to be abused. Part of that looks like assigning explicit liability and consequences, not just pointing a finger and saying, hey, hugging face, you know, or skit, you know, hey, Claude, you hacked hugging face. Great headline. No, there needs to be financial liability and other countries are leading in that way. We see Europe doing it. We can pull from them. Now, in the open source AI race and talking about innovation and regulation balance, China actually has stricter AI laws in the United States and arguably is remaining toe-to-toe with us in the open source race. Now, America is in the AI race. Now, America is not behind in the open source race. We're competing simultaneously, open source and closed source, where you see open AI releasing jalapeno and their chip. You have Nemo-chon releasing, Nvidia releasing models with Nemo-chon. And so we're competing on both fronts, simultaneously, especially with Nvidia just purchasing, being rumored to have purchased hugging face. And so we're competing on all these fronts simultaneously. China has demonstrated already that there can be certain levels of boundaries along that framework around documenting frontier risk, making sure that you're testing your models and still remaining competitive. And I think we have some lessons to learn. All right. It's a doctoral dissertation for sure. And by the way, we'll save the discussion next time for the use of AI and humanoid robots. That's a whole other fiasco that could be brewing as well. XIE, thank you very much. We appreciate it. We'll see you soon. Cheers. All right. An update now on that tragic story from the Paul China border. Officials there now say the death toll from the massive flash floods has climbed to more than 160. More than 1,300 people, including 65 from the United States, are still missing. The US Geological Survey says a glacial collapse is likely the source for the disaster. We will continue to follow the latest developments on that story, but thoughts and prayers to everybody affected by that Nepal-China flood situation. Well, a lot more to come here on warning call, including shares of China's Ziedad AI, taking off on the back of its new model apparently, running only on homegrown China chips. We're live in Beijing with a look at what it could mean for the country's efforts to solidify its position in the aforementioned global AI race. Morning calls back after this. Welcome back to morning call, another potential deep-seek moment for the AI trade. This morning shares of Chinese AI lab ZAI are surging after it claims its latest model runs on 100% Chinese chips and what is now the latest sign of China's efforts to ramp up homegrown computing capabilities. Our Eunice Dune joins us now from Beijing with the latest on that story, Eunice. Thanks, Tom. Well, the model is called GLM 5.3 Flash and this is the very low-cost version of ZAI's flagship AI model and the claim is that this model only runs on Chinese-made chips. So all the online traffic globally, the company says, is running on 100,000 Chinese chips. The Chinese company did not say which local chips they're using, but the share prices of some of the local GPU and CPU makers surge today. Hygon was up by 6%, more threads was up by 3%. And analysts say that Huawei's ascend is also likely in the mix. Now, the claim has sparked a lot of discussion around a term that translates to decoupling from Nvidia in inference. And people have been speculating, feeling very proud, wondering if China is getting closer and closer to a point when they are able to not only dominate when it comes to inference, but also be able to use Chinese chips when it comes to training. So they're saying there's a term that's, as I said, decoupling from Nvidia in inference and another one decoupling from Nvidia on training. And that's because running a model, Tom, takes a whole lot less computing power than training. And so we're going to probably get more information from ZAI next week when it releases its earnings for the first half of the year on Monday. All right, continuing the AI trend in today's news cycle. Thank you very much, Unitsune, live in Beijing with the latest there. Straight ahead on the show here, the morning call crew assembles, teaming up the training day ahead and fresh momentum for the AI trade on Nvidia's blockbuster quarter coming up. All right, welcome back time now for your call sheet, where we look at the topics driving the training day ahead. The crew members assemble today are Dan Eyes of Yorkville Lives, Michelle Caruso Cabrera of MCC Global Enterprises and Steve Grasso of Grasso Global. Michelle and Steve are both CMBC contributors. Now our first topic for the discussion today has to be in video because it's the primary driver in the stock market story per se. We just heard about the decoupling that China is trying to make from Nvidia or the kind of thematic that's developing there. We also heard earlier on about this political story that the Trump administration is weighing tariffs on certain semiconductor type products. Michelle, I'm gonna start with you on this one here. Nvidia is by far the most important company in the market because of its market cap and its influence. How much do we have to worry about some of the kind of I guess siege that's being laid to Nvidia because everyone wants to try to chip away at its dominance? So we have news that China is trying to be completely self-reliant when it comes to AI. The United States is trying to do the same. Politico has a story that you reported on earlier that the US administration is considering imposing tariffs on semiconductors coming into the United States. Why? Because they want them produced here. If this is going to be the future use of war and this is an important element of conducting war and competition, they want them produced here. So is it gonna be costly? Yes it is, but it can be done. I was part of a delegation of the council and former relations that went to the TSMC production facility in Arizona and it can be done. It's just expensive and you've got to be committed. There's got to be a strategic tilt and the US has to change. It's got a mentality, right? To want to do this and the Trump administration because it's in the name of national security. For the long term as well. Steve, you saw the results from Nvidia. We've heard some of the macro factors at play is Nvidia a stock that deserves to be up 7% this morning. It was relatively flat since the last quarter and how much more upside do we think it has? Yeah, so the setup was perfect for Nvidia. The stock had sold off 9% or 10% into the print and everyone knew the stats that six out of the last eight quarters, they had a stellar beats but then the stock did not perform after the fact. So everyone was hedging their bets against that. Hoping the shorts were hoping it would fail again and we didn't get that. Market always sets up to hurt the most amount of people at the very same time and that's what we saw and that's why you see this whip lash back in Nvidia. But Nvidia, this is a big week last week we heard from retailers. This week we hear from the micro from the micro economic front which is Nvidia and then we have macro at Jackson Hole. Market's looking for a reason to stay on track into rally obviously, you know, Dan's an expert on this and Nvidia has tremendous amount of competition that competition is scaling but for now and Nvidia's still hitting it out of the park. All right, you know, it's funny. One of my old bosses on Wall Street Dan back in the day said, same thing Steve said. Markets do tend to gravitate towards where the most pain is at some point. Now that we've kind of cleared the decks a little bit with regard to the tech and AI trade, where exactly is the pain right now? Is it the fear of missing out on potential upside or is the pain going to be, hey, maybe this is enough to sell the news? I think Grasso now that in terms of just the narrative, look, the reality is it's a jenga puzzle and you put it together, think about the hyperscalers, then when we saw from the memory players, now we see from the Godfather of AI, Jensen and Nvidia, the demands accelerating. I mean, we think demands accelerate 20% even the last three months. So I think the pain investors are gonna feel it. They're on the side ones, you know, the bears have scared many, you know, periods over the last few months. And I think this just shows. In the AI party, it started 9.30 pm. It's about 11.30 pm now. That party goes to 4 a.m., and I think a lot of investors don't want to miss out on that party. Okay, all right, so the after party's going Michelle. You know, when it comes to investor sentiment, Nvidia is crucial, right? We all wait every quarter. So he's first, do no harm. The numbers when they first come out, okay, these are good enough so that we don't have a sell off. And then with the announcement of 70% expectation for revenue increase, year over year, I mean, that's the party still going. So this is certainly gonna help market sentiment, certainly no harm. Where is Dan for you for this one? Where is going to be the most direct ecosystem effect from Nvidia? We can talk about other chips, we've been flashing them all show, but are there certain particular areas that will be able to capitalize on this massive forecast for 70% revenue growth in the country in the year? I think it's hyperscaler and software. So when you look at the hyperscalers from Microsoft, for Alphabet, for Amazon, you see on the software side, relative to Palantir, many of those names, cyber security, okay, CrowdStrike, this speaks to the second, third, fourth derivative, now playing out. Investors are figuring out, scan to where the puck's going, that's where they're gonna be focused on what the next trade is. All right, so those are the factors that play with Nvidia, but of course Jackson Hole is coming up, tomorrow is the big speech from Kevin Worsh's chair, Steve, how are the markets set up for Worsh? And do we really care that much? Nothing real policy wise comes from Jackson Hole really ever. Yeah, and the market was set up from Chair Powell to here, just a sipping from a fire hose with all the information and all the transparency. And the truth is the market just sort of led the Fed instead of the other way around. And Worsh just wants to trickle that information out and let the market do its own thing versus the Fed leading them there, because truth is all that information just backs the Fed in the corner. You can't raise rates, you can't cut rates if the market already knows and has led you around by your head about where the market should be. So I think it just becomes more valuable information, but the market is going to put rates in the background where at all time highs, semiconductors are performing, tech is performing, the market is performing. Michelle, what do you think Fed Chair Kevin Worsh needs to do and or wants to do at Jackson Hole? Well, first in a new sense, this is the first time we're gonna hear from him since Bessent intervened in the curve, right? Does he say anything about that? Does he look past that? I mean, that's a big mystery at this point. The theme of the conference is financial innovation. You could, in theory, argue that all the money being raised by all the hyperscalers has crowded out the US government when it comes to raising money. I mean, do these two stories converge? Now, that's me speculating. Does he say anything about that? Other people have speculated as well, but they have been sucking up a lot of demand within fixed income. Is it gonna be a problem, Dan? All the issuance raised for debt for these hyperscalers? I think as Michelle Shoes does, she puts it together because I think that's to reality when it comes to tech because look, 20% of the data center in the CapEx buildout is gonna be debt driven and that speaks to right now this, you know, it's a tug of war that you're seeing play out, all eyes on Jackson Hole, but I just continue to think the tech trade, this is not stopping it. All right, a lot more to go here, but we've run out of time. Steve Grasso, Michelle Cruzacarera, Dan Ives, thank you very much for being part of the crew today. We appreciate it, guys. All right, well, markets are big, especially on the tech side of things. Keep an eye on that NASDAQ trade up 300 points applied to the bell.