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BITCOIN REVEALED: The True Story | September 18, 2026
Channel: Verified Investing YouTube
Watch on YouTube · 2026-09-17
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AI Summary
**Summary:**
- **Stock Tickers & Price Levels:**
- Bitcoin (BTC): $58,000 (potential bottom), current price around $60,000
- Hyperlid (HLT): Hit a brand new all-time high
- Aerodrome (AER): Not mentioned with specific price levels
- Uniswap (UNI): At one point up 20%
- MicroStrategy (MSTR): Short position entered around $600, stop-loss not specified
- iBit (IBIT): Short position entered, stop-loss not specified
- BlackRock ETF: Not mentioned with specific price levels
- **Key Trading Strategy:**
- Analyzing the 3-week MACD indicator to determine Bitcoin's bottom
- Watching for potential rejection around the February 6 low into the May high ($58,000 - $64,000 range)
- Monitoring Bitcoin's liquidation heat map for short squeezes
- **Indicators Used:**
- MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) on the 3-week timeframe
- Bitcoin liquidation heat map
- **Entry/Exit Rules & Suggested Trades:**
- Entry: Wait for MACD crossover on the 3-week chart to confirm Bitcoin's bottom around $58,000
- Exit: Not specified, but implied stop-loss for short positions around $600 for MSTR and around the entry price for iBit
- Suggested Trades: Short MSTR around $600, short iBit (BlackRock ETF) around the entry price
- **Timeframes Mentioned:**
- Daily chart for Bitcoin's near-term price action
- 3-week chart for MACD analysis
- 12-hour time period for Bitcoin liquidation heat map
- **Risk Management Tips:**
- Respect the magnets (support/resistance levels) on the liquidation heat map
- Be cautious with heavy leverage to avoid liquidation
- Consider revenge trading when positions get liquidated
Summary ready
Transcript
I grew up with nothing. Success felt impossible until I found crypto in 2018. I made every mistake, chasing hype and holding coins to nearly [music] zero. I then found technical analysis and it changed everything. My perspective on this industry and my success within it. Now I'm passing that knowledge on to you. Welcome to Bitcoin Revealed, [music] the true story. Hey folks, Nick Valdez here, chief crypto strategist at Verified Investing. And today we're going to talk is the bull market over or sorry, starting because the bare market is giving us a very rare historical signal. And we're going to go back and look at the previous cycles and say, hey, was that $58,000 the bottom for Bitcoin or are we going to head a little bit lower? It's going to shock you. And I'm going to show you exactly so you could even look at that indicator yourself. And we're going to look at basically yesterday's calls. What did we talk about yesterday? Talked about three coins. Hyperlid, Aerodrome, Uniswap. These three tokens are three of the largest gainers we've seen in the top 100. Hyperlid hit a brand new all-time high today. And Uniswap at one point is up 20%. So all you had to do is just watch this show. Make sure you're subscribed. Make sure you hit that like button. Let's go ahead and talk about the bull market. Let's talk about is the bare market over because this is a very remarkable indicator I'm going to show you folks. But first, let's look at the the near-term price action. You can see on the daily chart, Bitcoin had a huge huge pump and we are now hitting the top of this larger parallel structure. So, we've been talking about this parallel structure for a while now. We rejected off it, you know, fairly recently, the beginning of September, September 4th, September 3rd, pushed down, kind of made a nice little flag pattern, and then pushing back up and rejecting off that area. Now, we did get a couple shorts. I got a good short on Micro Strategy. Lot was short in iBit, which is going to be the Black Rockck ETF, and I'm looking at this green rectangle for potential rejection. That's going to be the February 6 low into the May high. We've been talking about this for a while. looks like might be rejecting again, folks. But let's talk about the bare market. Let's talk about the bull market. And I'm going to show you exactly how to find this, folks. So, if you uh and folks, big shout out to Bitbase, by the way. I'm going to show you at the end of the stream a good way to potentially get some uh you know, maybe not free, deposit 100 bucks, awesome, awesome prizes that we're just giving out to everybody. And if you trade, you get even more entries at this super thing. Someone's saying it has been over. Well, I see you guys arguing in the comment section. Some are saying, "No, we are going much lower." Some of the comments are even saying 30,000, 40,000. Some are saying 58k was definitely the bottom. That's what makes Bitcoin great. You know, we can all kind of have our opinions, but at the end of the end of the day, Bitcoin's price action is going to dictate who's right and who's wrong. And don't worry, I'm going to reply to every comment from yesterday's stream. I just haven't got to it yet. And I'm going to reply to everybody today as well. So, it is the three-w weekek MACD that we're going to be looking at. And what is the MACD, folks? MACD stands for moving average, convergence, divergence. And it basically looks at the difference between a 12 exponential moving average and a 26 exponential moving average. And then there's a line that cuts through the middle that's a nine, but I don't want to get too deep into what it means. Now, it is MAC D moving average convergence divergence. And we're going to look at the 3-w weekek chart. Now, you might have to pay a little extra on Trading View to to get this indicator or get this time frame here, but you see it on the 3 week. So, we're going to talk about this blue line crossing above this orange line. And does this mean the bare market is over? Because I'm going to show you something pretty remark remarkable here because you see, well, we haven't crossed yet and the low is behind us. So, what does this mean? Well, let's go back to the previous bare market and you're going to see a pattern start to emerge. So, you see when the blue line crosses above the orange line, the bottom was a few candles before and you know, you could say the little wick there. So, several candles before is where you actually see a bottom. Now, that's the 22 bare market bottom. the after the 2021 high where we peaked uh this is going to be technically it peaked in November although it says the 3-week candle there is in October so we peaked November of 2021 well in 2017 we peaked in December of 2017 so let's go back all right so you see the blue line cross above the orange line and what do you know the bottom it's about five candles beforehand yet again so we see the bottom happen and then we go up for a few three-week candles and then we have this MAC D crossover. Now, let's go back to where we're at today. You can see the MACD crossover looks like it's about to happen. In fact, you can even go to another bare market bottom. This is going to be the, you know, the 2014 technically uh December 2013 2014 peak to the 2014 uh bottom. And then it kind of triggers, keeps going, keeps going. What do you know? We have another crossover and the bottom wick. You really have to stretch this one. we technically go lower right there. That technically is the bottom right there. And yet again, it's just a few candles before. And so, folks, if you look at this MACD indicator, it is suggesting 58K was the bottom. And so just a little bit of a a feather in your hat there if you're, you know, so convinced that no, no, no, the bottom has to happen in October because the top happened in October and typically the bottom happens 12 months later or even 52 weeks later. That might not be the case, folks. The MACD indicator on that 3-week time frame is telling us something different. So let me know down in the comments. Was 58K the bottom? I I want to see you guys get to arguing. I want to see you guys argue even more, folks. All right, let's look at the Bitcoin liquidation heat map. We had a nice pump today. Very, very good pump. I think a lot of this is just off the back of the SEC news from yesterday. I think Wall Street is starting to digest that news, folks. And you can see nice little pump. But what do you know? People after the pump right here, this candle, people are like, "All right, well, I got to short the pump." They got liquidated. All right. Well, guess what? I'm going to revenge trade. I'm This is a a This bright line is indicating another short position. Well, what do you know? They got liquidated. Nice little wick there. Hits the liquidation zone, pulls back. People revenge trade even more. Hits the liquidation zone, pulls back. And right now, Bitcoin is just chopping along. Chopping along. But there's a lot of longs starting to pile up. You're starting to see, and I like to think of these as magnets. You're seeing more magnets to the downside than you're seeing magnets to the top side. That doesn't mean this person or these people right here, these whales don't have to get liquidated, but at the end of the day, you got to respect the magnets. Sometimes it will start pulling it to that price zone, folks. But it seems to be a little bit of a short squeeze, everybody. How much got liquidated? $371 million in a 12-hour time period. And so, you can see even some longs get wrecked. I don't know. How are you longing this market and getting liquidated? I I don't know. Maybe maybe they're just jumping in at the wrong time. Going a little bit too much heavy leverage there. But almost $400 million were wrecked. Wrecked in a very short amount of time. So definitely a little bit of credence to a short squeeze. Uh and everybody smash the like button. It's It's casual Friday. I don't have a I don't have the tie on. All right. Don't don't yell at me. Hey, man. I I like to let the neck breathe every now and then. All right. Let's talk about Hyperlid. nice little uh potential inverse head and shoulders. And this is a bullish chart pattern. And the way you would measure this is you would go from the neckline to the crown of the head on hyperlquid. I'll go ahead and tell you I did take some profit literally a couple hours ago. I am trying to sell my house in Georgia. I got to pay some I got to pay an appraiser. I got to I had to I'm I'm out over I'm out five figures. I'm not going to give the amount. I've had to pay five figures. and uh construction repair. So, I had to take some profit. You know, we're we're jumped in on this one super super early. I hate selling my Hyperlid, but there you go. Anyways, uh the the target for this is going to be around $123 $124 for Hyperlid. Let's zoom out. What's a shorter term uh price action? Well, or near term, I should say. If you look at the the peak in December of 2024, we then rejected right here in September. That gives us our trend line. Well, what do you know? That's where we hit, folks. Now, we did get a short entry in. Have closed it already, but I did get a nice short into Hyperlid pulling back. So, end up shorting it. Ended up taking some profit. And now we are starting to see a little bit of a pullback. So, don't feel too bad about that one. And look at that. Just kissing that level and then pushing down. Now, we did talk about Uniswap. Uniswap also one of the major gainers off that SEC news yesterday. the largest DEX decentralized exchange by volume. Uh liquidity infrastructure, tokenized stock venue there. What are we looking at on the unis swap chart? Well, another potential inverse head and shoulders. So, you can say we got a nice shoulder here and then we got a nice head starting to come back to the neckline. But what's this 786? What are we talking about? 786. Well, we got to go from the high to the low. And the way you would do this, you go on the left side, and we're using BitBase for this, but you can also see a regular trading view. Uh, go to the fib retracement tool right here. And we're going to click right here. And if you're wondering how to use the fib, do I start at the top? Do I start at the bottom? How does it work? You have to go chronologically. So, whatever happens on the left side, whether it's on the bottom or the top, that's where you start your fib retracement tool. I hate seeing influencers out there. They don't even know how to use this tool. I don't even know how to use Trading View, uh, or, you know, Bitbase in this case here. But we're going to go ahead and move it down. And we're going to move it to the bottom right there. What do we see? Look at that, folks. Nice. Nice little set. Wait a minute. Hold on. Hold on. Don't listen to me. Don't listen to me. All right, here we go. Right there. 786. They're like, he he's talking trash. They don't know how to use it. Then he started at the wrong point. Uh, it's right here, folks. Pull it down. 786 intersects with this move right here. So, I'm liking a strong strong odds for a rejection on Uniswap right above $10 right now. Trading around 8.82. We wicked all the way up to 936. Uh I was I did short that. It was it was a little hairy, folks. It was a little hairy. I I'll show my trades towards the end. Uh and then this is going to be 10:25 10:23 or so. So, keep an eye out on that for a short on Uniswap. I I do think we're going to just pull back a little at that point. And then what what should we do? Well, let me get our brush. We should make our shoulder. We got our head pattern. Should make another shoulder. And then like we said, this is a bullish uh chart setup. Maybe nice little move to the upside. Probably retest and then move. But uh keep an eye out on that for the unis swap chart, everybody. Let's go to the next one. Let's look at Ethereum. What are we seeing with the Ethereum chart? Well, we finally, you know, looks like we might try to have our highest daily close. I don't know how long, folks. We are uh, you know, about four hours away, I believe. So, let's get our measuring tool. We haven't seen a daily close this high in 231 days. It's been all the way since January 31st. Uh, actually, technically, it'd be January 30th because this daily close there. So, we haven't seen a high uh daily close like this in a long, long time. But, there's still time. you know, it could still pull back. Uh, but still looking pretty positive here. What's the next level of resistance I'm watching? I think it's going to be peakto peak. Got a nice little area here. And what do we see? We see another inverse head and shoulder. So, crypto starting to wake up, everybody. Crypto is starting to wake up. We did look at the last uh, you know, this one took a while. Finally broke out of it. Let's get this actually where it touches. Should be a little bit higher actually. About right there. Uh yeah, you know, we chopped around, consolidated, consolidated, consolidated, now finally start to wake out of its slumber. Let me know if you jumped in ETH. And did you not take profit? I sold the majority of my ETH in 2021 in uh December. So, I got out a great time. Actually put some of it into gold. I I might wear my I have this insane gold bracelet. It's a little bit of a side story. Cryptoface hooked me up with that. He had a gold guy. literally had a gold guy. I met up with him in Vegas. I I felt like I was in a movie or something, but I sent him some ETH. Uh he got me he got me a nice little gold bracelet. I I'll wear it. I'll wear it one day. But this gold bracelet is one ETH at the time. And now I couldn't even tell you how many ETH it's worth with gold going up, ETH going down. End up being a great trade there. Uh you want to do H bar? Might do a little H bar there. I did see the news. In fact, we put this out on verified.com. Saudi announced they're not shipping crude oil to the EU next month said hey you know if we promise you some deliveries not going to happen that east west pipeline that is in my you know what I'm seeing you know boots on the ground I follow a lot of interesting accounts there's saying it was pump station 8 9 and 11 and the reason those were targeted of the Saudi pump stations you know one through I think there's you know there's a lot there's more more than uh those three of course they were targeted because they're so hard to get to it's not like it's not like off the side of a highway. Some of these they actually had the Saudis had to build their own runway and they have to like land cargo planes with not only jeeps but also like excavating equipment and they got to like load it up and they don't even have uh the good enough rows to to move a lot of this equipment over there. So, might have been uh you know might have been a little inside info on that one. Uh let's look at Salana. talked about Salana and XRP and I said I'm liking what I see with the Salana. And if you watch yesterday's episode, I said I don't like how XRP is not moving a lot, folks. Look at Salana breaking out of its bull flag. I'm keeping an eye out on this 117 level. And that's going to be this wick low right here. Keep an eye out on that, folks. Uh XRP, I told you, you know, like ah this one's just not feeling as bullish. Look, it looks like it's not even going to break out of its bull flag. And so if you're, you know, holding Salana versus XRP, you're feeling a lot happier today, folks. I I I do want to just say that. But don't get me wrong, XRP can pump. It can pump like crazy. I am looking at near as well. Near also a very interesting chart here. I'll pull that up in a second. Uh we're looking at the 382 fib on this one. Near, this is going all the way back to January. Nice little pump. Rejected. Rejected. might be rejected again, folks. If uh history is in the indication, it's going to be a little under $4, about 393. I believe it was this level right here. And the 382 is uh wait, no, he did it again, folks. He did it again. Uh this is going to the basically the the cycle high here. 382 intersecting with that level. Keep an eye out on that for the near chart, everybody. So, that's what we're looking at for the short-term plays. You said you want to see H bar. The barbarians, they're just a loud community. It's uh maybe maybe it's in the name, man. You're just barbarians. You're you're so barbaric. All right, let's see. Go back to the Barbar Coast. That's what I say. Uh Hart's got that trend line. I believe we talked about this, but I didn't think we were going to be testing it so soon. This is looking pretty juicy, folks. uh for a potential short, but might keep pumping to about 8 cents. Uh 8 point 06, maybe 8.1. It's keeping out on that. So, we're we're getting pretty close to that one there. Getting pretty close. Uh paid. Oh, don't careful careful about the scammers. I saw someone not even me. They weren't even me and they're like it's on X. It's it's a fake account pretending to be me. I will not message you, folks. I will never message you. We do have a pretty cool promotion going on right now, by the way. Oh, man. Time. I feel like I'm in the matrix here. Scroll down to the description and you'll see this Bitbase link down there. If you want to trade with me, copy some of our trades. All you got to do is just deposit and you can grab up to $10,000 in prizes. This will give you some trial funds. Now, if you get the 10,000 USDT, you can't just win, deposit that, and just withdraw it and like run off into the sunset. You know, you do the meme. You got to trade with it. You keep the winnings, though. So, pretty cool there. Uh so, uh pretty I just want to give a big shout out to uh Bitbase for, you know, working with us on that. Pretty cool of them, by the way. Now, uh we did close all the entries. I had to do some other we had like a basically another video for me to do if if you check out some of the other things on the channel, but we've closed all the trades. Uh we got a nice little streak. The streak kill still continues. Uh we did short near made a couple hundred bucks. Hype XRP. I I just closed all those before I went live. I didn't want to have an open trade while I was live. But keep an eye on those setups that I did give you. We are heading into the weekend. Keep a close eye on that Bitcoin liquidation heat map. wouldn't be surprised to see these levels get targeted if we continue to pump. It looks like right below 82 and right around 80. I think this is about 82800. And uh stay tuned for this channel for Oh, wait a minute. Let me show it to you. Yeah, right here right below 82. So that's that's what I'm watching on the Bitcoin liquidation heat map. I do think it might get targeted. Your XRP comments are always funny. That is not the real Salana account. Uh, obviously there is XRP a stable coin. It's Hey, it pumped to $3 out of nowhere and no one thought it was going to pump to at $3. And what do you know? It did. I did cover Zcash yesterday. I I did give some Zcash levels, but you know, it is a major mover. It's a major mover. I I can probably stand to, you know, give it to you folks yet again here. Zcash is just going bananas. Uh, this one I'm I'm not exactly sure when the pump's going to end because the bull flags keep playing out. So, we had a bull flag. The way you measure it, you you go from the breakout of the flag and it gives you your next target. I mean, it basically hit to like, you know, just a couple bucks away. Well, we got a Oh, crap. What am I doing here? Uh, then we have another bull flag and then you measure it again from the breakout. It's going to be right around,568. I did see some liquidations right below 1,600 on Zcash. So, those might get targeted. Zcash is kind of like that. It's that insider cabal. A lot of Koss, you know, pumping that one, you know. So, I don't know. Be careful. I can do Onondo because it is related to the SEC pump that we're seeing. But I told you to sell that a long time ago, folks. And I do appreciate all you guys who uh found me from the other uh channel, by the way. Ono. I mean, yeah, it's a nice little pump, but this thing's just been chopping sideways. Ono has a lot of sell pressure and the value of doesn't really acrue to the token holders. So, that's why I'm not just a big fan. You say, "Well, Black Rockck's involved." Okay, but they're not give Black Rockck. You think Black Rockck wants to give the token holders money? No, they want to keep the money, folks. They want to keep the money. Uh, telling retail it's bullish at 2500. Zcash ain't the next Bitcoin, folks. It's it's private Bitcoin. And there's rumors of Zcash that was spun up out of thin air, but the Naval Raven Chamas Polyhapatz Bologies, they all like it. Miami Vice look on a Friday. Hey, I appreciate it folks. Thank you for sticking around to the end. I'm going to go jump on my uh speedboat into the sunset off the Florida coast. Thank you for joining to the end. Check out the Bitbase link down below and let me know if you guys like these Friday episodes. We're definitely Monday through Thursday, 1:30 p.m. Eastern Standard Time, but we have been doing a couple Fridays. So, let us know down in the comments if you like the Friday episodes with the weekend setups. I will keep them coming, folks. Thank you for sticking around to the end. And until next time, folks, I'll see you in the future. Appreciate it.