My Trading Game Plan | September 21, 2026

My name is Gareth Soloway and I was a
losing trader until I mastered technical
analysis. Logic and charts [music] beat
hypes and narratives every time. Now I
teach investors the same techniques that
made me a multi-millionaire. This is my
trading game plan.
Good morning everybody. Welcome to this
Monday morning edition of my trading
game plan. My name is Gareth Soloway,
chief market strategist here at
verifiedinvesting.com.
All right, so here we are, new week and
the markets continue to look bullish to
me. You guys know I've stuck on that
bullish side based on the technicals and
the data pointing to further upside. The
S&P futures are in rally mode today.
We're seeing a solid gain. This on the
back of a drop in oil over the weekend.
CENTCOM came out and said, "Hey, we're
getting more oil through the Strait of
Hormuz right now than we did even 6
months ago." So oil is starting to flow
again even with the Houthis attacking
Saudi Arabia more. There's still
optimism that again, the reclamation I
should say of the Strait of Hormuz is
slowly taking place. This means the US
military's clearing mines, escorting
ships, and we're starting to see a
little bit of that oil flow. Now whether
or not that continues, we don't know,
but ultimately a lot of optimism over
maybe a deal is going to start to be
discussed again. In addition, you have
President Xi meeting with Trump. Maybe
China can put some pressure on Iran. All
of these factors shaping up for a drop
in crude oil. Now remember last week I
told you I was short crude oil. I am
still short crude oil and we're in the
money beautifully at
verifiedinvesting.com.
All right, let's jump into the charts
and take a look. This is the S&P
futures. This was Friday's action. You
could see again early in the day on
Friday we had some downside, then we
floated back up into the close. Starting
last night when the futures opened, we
just continued to go higher as oil
slowly fell. Now, remember, with oil
coming down, yields are pulling back as
well. So, it's a double positive when
oil comes down, that's a positive, and
yields pulling back with oil is a
secondary positive for the US stock
market. All right, so going to the
charts, I want to start out with the S&P
daily chart. Let's flip over to that.
You can see very clearly here, here's
our neutral zone right down here. So,
again, we got below the line for one
afternoon when the Federal Reserve last
week came out and kind of shocked the
markets with how hawkish they were. The
markets in the afternoon sold off
sharply, closing below the bullish line
into neutral territory. Now, again, if
you were paying attention, we talked
about how you can't let the emotional
reaction of the market really dictate
just yet. I said, "Let's see where
things go the next day." Because in my
opinion, and I said this going into the
Fed, I want them to be hawkish. If
they're hawkish, it means you have an
adult in the room that's actually taking
inflation seriously, which means a
better financial future potentially for
the United States. And it actually
should bring long-end rates down. And
that was the thesis that I went with.
Now, that initial reaction went against
that thesis, but then we came the the
next day. And the next day, what
happened? The markets ripped up on
Thursday, rallied on Friday, and we're
set to open up nicely today. Now, today
right now, if we flip back to the S&P
futures, we're currently up .65%
or look at this up here, 50 and 1/2
points on the S&P. All right, 50 and
1/2, remember that. If we go to the S&P
daily chart, you have a descending
trendline right here.
And if you draw that down, and I'm going
to change the color on this so it really
pops out. Let's put it in green here.
Now, let's even do it a little bit We'll
do it in blue.
If we can get above this trend line,
this is a breakout on the S&P of this
bull flag. Now, remember what I mean by
that. What we look at is here's your
flag pole.
This is all inside bar bullish
consolidation. Notice it held the line
here. It's consolidating in the upper
50% of the move. Tech- Technical data
shows us that that pattern is bullish.
So, what we're looking for is we closed
at 7650
on Friday. 7650 on Friday. Remember
that. Remember how many points we're up
on the S&P. We're up 50 points right
now. If you add that 50 points in, where
does that take us towards the breakout
line? It takes us within five points of
the breakout line. In other words, we're
likely to test this today. Can the
markets break out? If we do break out,
and we're going to be opening right here
on the S&P, then if we break out, you're
looking at a move up potentially all the
way up towards 8,000 on the S&P. Now,
you could say, "Well, why? What's the
trigger? What's the the the news that
drives this market?" And I would say,
"No news or just oil slowly pulling back
with yields." I mean, look at today.
There's really no news out there.
President Xi is meeting with Trump this
week, so that's I mean, we don't know if
that's a positive or negative, but you
have oil down a little bit, and you have
yields down a little bit, and the S&P's
gaining 50 points. Right there. Just 50
just like that. And so, you get oil to
come down, currently trading at 97-ish
dollars a barrel. If we just slowly drop
$2 a day back to 90 or 85, to me, that's
a big enough catalyst with yields
pulling back with oil that this market
could head towards 8,000 on the S&P.
Now, does that change my long-term
horrendous outlook for the markets, you
know, a couple years down the line that
eventually we're going to see a bigger
collapse due to all the irresponsibility
of spending and monetary policy and
everything like that? No, that's still
intact, but it doesn't mean short-term
we can't see a little bit of upside. So,
watch this today, guys. Can we break out
above this just above 7 7,700 level on
the S&P, which would be the bull flag
breakout? If we do, we could be looking
again at 7,900 to 8,000 on the S&P 500.
All right, we talked about oil. Let's
take a look at oil. Oil is now at 7
97.21.
Beautiful drop. It's funny, I did on my
own channel this weekend a a video
talking about how oil was likely to go
down and the comments were like, "No,
oil's not going down. Da da da da da."
And I'm I saw those comments and I
always look at it for contrarian
aspects. When I see a ton of people
bullish on oil, I'm like, "Oh, it's
coming down." And you might say, "Well,
how do you know that?" Well, really what
it is is that if you have retail betting
too heavily on one side of the of the of
the trade, the institutions are not
going to lose money. They're the ones
selling the call options, right? They're
not going to be taking losses here. And
so, inevitably, institutional money will
make sure they push it in the opposite
direction of the crowd. Remember that.
Social media can be hugely negative, but
if you know how to use it properly, it
can be an edge that can make you a lot
of money. Speaking of making money, I've
got something for you guys. So, when we
look at sponsors out there, I always
look for people that are going to
benefit my followers, my viewers, the
Verified Investing crowd. This is one of
them. It's Bit Funded. Bit Funded gave
us free 500 500 free accounts, totally
free. All right, I think it takes about
24 hours for them to load the $5,000 in,
but they will put $5,000 in an account
for you. Now, you don't get to take the
money out. You have to trade with it,
but you can use it to trade, and if you
make profits, you can then keep the
profits. So, think about that. So, we
have literally Bit Funded came to us and
say, "Hey, we have a cool platform here.
We'll give you free 500 accounts for
your fans out there. They can go sign up
at Bit Funded. You can use the QR code
there or the link in the description.
Use the code, I think it comes up if you
use the QR code or look for the code in
the description. Make sure you use our
code, guys. Make sure you use our code,
which is in the description or if you
use the QR code, and there's 500 free
accounts. You guys can go get them.
They'll put 5,000 bucks in there. You
don't have to spend a dime. No money
needed. And you can trade with the 5,000
and try to make money. You make money,
you get to keep it. Very cool. I love
it. Thank you, Bit Funded. I think those
type of giveaways are so freaking cool.
Check them out, guys. All right, back to
the charts we go. Here we have the
10-year yield. Right here, 10-year yield
is down today. So, we know ultimately
that is the beauty of what we're seeing
in the markets with the rally. This week
I'm watching this double top, guys. This
is the double top going back to Let me
see here. This is the back to October of
2023. Remember, resistance is respected
until it's broken. Resistance is
respected until it's broken, and right
now we have to respect it that it's
going to cause a pullback. Part of that
is my view on oil. Oil coming in, yield
should come in. And also, as long as the
Fed doesn't come out and start being all
dovish, the adult in the room should
actually bring in the long end of the
yield curve. Now, you might say, "Well,
why would Fed raising rates bring in the
yield curve on the long end?" Not the
short end, cuz if the Fed raises, it's
the short end is the short end. The Fed
is in control of that. But, the reason
it brings in the long end of the yield
curve, is because
people that buy our debt, that loan the
US money by buying treasuries, they say,
"Wow. All right, I feel better about
putting money into the US because I see
the Fed is actually trying to get
inflation under control." What a novel
idea to get inflation under control. So,
that says to them, "Okay, I feel better
about investing. Therefore, I'll accept
a slightly lower interest rate." It is
the most important thing. When you have
fiscal irresponsibility, rates on the
long end are going to go up because no
one expects to get the money back. And
if they do get the money back from
loaning the US money, what's those
dollars really worth? I mean, have they
diluted a 30 over 30 years to the point
where the dollar's worthless anyways?
And then what's the point, right? You
guys see my drift on that. All right.
So, that's the thought process. The
dollar today is trading fractionally
higher here. So, we'll continue to
monitor that and see where it goes, but
the dollar again hit big resistance
right here on the charts. All right. So,
we've covered
the market, the S&P, the 10-year yield,
the dollar, oil. Those are the big
drivers of this market, right? But, what
is going on with Bitcoin? What about
gold? What about silver, natural gas,
and even stocks to trade today? Let's
get right into it. I'm going to start
with Bitcoin here because frankly,
Bitcoin's the most exciting of all of
these. So, let's take a look. Look at
Bitcoin ripping today. Now, I'm really
proud about this, guys, because while
everyone was getting super bearish on
Bitcoin and talking about it breaking
down, even when Clarity Act was kind of
failed failed in in the pushing it
forward type phase, and is basically off
the agenda until after the new year,
it fell, but using the charts, and this
is so key, I said, "Guys, your lowest
pullback is right here." And you can see
how every time we come in, we bounce off
this level, right? And so even though
clarity got essentially annihilated
there, the clarity act, I said as long
as we don't close below 75,500,
then you favor the upside. In other
words, the bigger pattern here was
actually a bull flag as long as this
held here, as long as this trendline
held. Lo and behold, it held and look at
what it has done since. Wow. From this
level right here at 75,500 and it
pierced intraday, but the daily close
held 75.5, it is now at 85,000
and change, a $10,000 move on Bitcoin
from the lows of 1 week ago. Not only
that, but this is the big news of the
day, the high here from the last major
bounce in Bitcoin, we have now made a
higher high. Okay? And this was the
thing that was keeping me kind of from
saying, okay, is this a bear market
rally or is this a new bull market in
Bitcoin? Well, listen,
I don't expect Bitcoin to just shoot
back to all-time highs in a week or two,
or a month even, or a month or two even.
But with a higher high, you can now say,
okay, we now have a potential low from
the bear market in and we could be
entering the bull the new bull phase on
Bitcoin. Now, am I jumping long here on
Bitcoin? No, I never chase. But on
pullbacks to major technical levels, you
better believe I will be buying until
proven otherwise, until we take If we
take out those lows, okay, it wasn't the
low. But right now, I'm a probability
trader and that means we're favoring the
upside and we're favoring a bull market
low is in. Now, where are we going?
Believe it or not, we're into some
interesting levels of resistance here. I
still think we can go higher, but
interesting that we're piercing this
trend line here. So, we are above it
intraday, so that's interesting there.
But again, at this point, I could see us
meeting a little bit of near term, and
this is only near term resistance.
So, nothing yet to write home about, but
basically this area right in here, you
can see all of these lows, this 85 to
87,000 level. We got to get through that
on Bitcoin. If we get through that, we
should go up to about 97,000
there. So, right now, we're into a new
test zone of resistance. All of this
sideways chop, if we can push through,
we should head up to this high right
there. Really amazing because, you know,
really bear market in Bitcoin was nasty.
It broke a lot of hearts over the course
of a long period of time.
But, while the S&P was at highs, gold
was doing its thing, and silver was
doing its thing, Bitcoin was left in the
dust. Now, looks like Bitcoin's finally
catching the bid, while some of the
other assets, like the S&P, S&P's still
looking good, but gold and silver,
honestly, they look range bound to me.
Let's go and talk about them right now.
All right, so here we have it. And you
can see exactly what we're talking
about. So, you have kind of maybe a
short-term uptrend, but it's kind of a
capped uptrend, right? We broke out the
white wedge broke out. We hit this high,
then we came down, and it established
essentially a low, and you can see right
here. So, parallel lines. And so, we're
now stuck in an ascending parallel,
which listen, I mean, at least it's
ascending and not descending, right? So,
price is generally going to trend up,
but it does bring up the kind of the cap
on price at the upper band of that. And
again, we're not that it wouldn't be a
good move to get back to 4,800 up here,
but again, it is capped. And then, what
we want to look for here as a technical
trader, do we ever break this line or
break this line? But, as long as, you
know, really until proven, it's stuck in
this range. Same thing on silver.
Silver, parallel lines.
Look at that.
Upper end, lower end. Now, do we go up
here, then do we come back here, etc.
Watch to see, but looks much more range
bound than what we're seeing on uh
Bitcoin. Now, natural gas, talk about
range bound, right? I mean, talk about
boring range bound, which is weird to
say for natural gas cuz they call it the
widow maker for a reason because it's so
volatile that it whips traders out both
ways. But, natural gas has remained in a
very tight range. I'm still bullish on
natural gas. Maybe I'm being crazy on
this, but I still think at some point as
we get into the winter, we'll see a
bigger break. But, look at the range
this thing's been in now going all the
way back to April or even maybe you
could say back to February. I mean, just
basically in a sideways tight tight
range. Is it a coiling spring? The
question is, maybe, but which way is it
going to break? That's the bigger
question. All right, some stock action
today, folks. Not a lot of earnings this
week. We have Costco later this week, uh
KB Homes, which will be interesting
because of the housing market and
obviously what's going on there. But,
we're in this low period until we get
into uh October. By mid-October, we'll
start to get the banks, then the big
mega caps will report. So, we're about 3
weeks away from earning season starting
up again. Looking at stocks on my radar,
the semiconductors are in motion. I like
this for a move up on Micron. It's
already gapping higher today. I'm
looking at a move up here to this 1150
level. This also happens to be, and why
I like this level is resistance. If we
use our Fibonacci tool and we drag it
down, the Fibonacci 786 is almost
identical with that gap fill. So,
that'll be my target level for the move
up, and if it gets there, I would
consider a short on Micron at that
point. But, we really are seeing kind of
a resumption [clears throat]
of trend uh in this in these plays. Look
at SanDisk on Friday, up over 10%.
Today, it's going to try to break out
above this down-sloping or de-slope uh
descending trend line. High pivot here
to high pivot. Can it break? Right now,
it's going to open above there. If it
does, I think this could go. Honestly,
we could see this thing back to 2275
or so up in this upper range in the near
term. And you can even see, it's kind of
like a cup and handle pattern, right?
You have your cup and then kind of a
little sideways handle here for maybe a
breakout to the upside on SanDisk. So,
all of a sudden, semiconductors are
looking better. I can't help but wonder,
and this is kind of on the
DL, the lowdown, right? Is that you had
the quad witching expiration or a triple
witching on Friday, and I wonder how
many calls were had been bought over the
last few months on SanDisk, on Micron,
and therefore the institutions didn't
want to let them rally significantly
until those were cleared off the board.
And now they're cleared off the board,
and it's like, okay, the the massive
amount of options are are expired. They
made their money the institu And now
they're like, okay, we can step back and
let these things run again. Just a
hypothesis,
you know, take it for what it's worth.
All right. Couple other stocks, Mike uh
Microsoft. I love this pattern on
Microsoft. Let's see if it breaks out in
the coming days. Look at the flagpole
and the bull flag here. Watch that. And
then Tesla here. Tesla again, can we get
another surge up to this level here?
This descending trend line should be
very interesting. I think it's going to
go there. Um again, we've kind of filled
the gap here. We've kind of chopped.
Now, you look for that next leg up here
on Tesla to just above 400. At that
point, we'll see where the resistance is
or if it rejects price. All right, guys.
That's it for me today. I got to get to
my trading room. I'm pumped up. It's
Monday. You You I'm rested from the
weekend, ready to crush it with our
traders there. Come join us there. You
have services which are, you know, swing
trade services, see our real-time
portfolios, live portfolios with live
P&Ls. We have crypto there for the
crypto portfolio, smart money crypto,
smart money commodities for commodities,
and smart money stocks for stocks. And
we even have a long-term investor
service there, million-dollar long-term
investor. If you're someone who doesn't
want to trade too actively, that's the
service there. You see the live
portfolio, how many shares of
everything, what the P&L is. It's pretty
darn cool. All right, have a great rest
of your day, guys. Thanks for tuning in,
and thank you for your support. Take
care.