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BITCOIN REVEALED: The True Story | September 28, 2026
Channel: Verified Investing YouTube
Watch on YouTube · 2026-09-26
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AI Summary
**Summary:**
- **Stock Tickers & Price Levels:**
- Bitcoin (BTC): Support at $28,600 (November wick into May high), Resistance at $31,000-$32,000 (previous range highs), Target around $25,000 (potential breakdown level).
- Quant (QNT): Surge of 140% in a 24-hour period.
- MicroStrategy (MSTR): Stock price mentioned but not as a trading target.
- Sui (SUI), Ethereum (ETH), unspecified altcoins: Mentioned but no specific price levels given.
- **Key Trading Strategy:**
- Bitcoin: Bearish bias due to bearish RSI divergence and repeated tests of support.
- Quant: Not explicitly stated, but the surge in price could indicate a trend reversal or continuation.
- Altcoins: Not explicitly stated, but Nick is in a trade involving some of these coins.
- **Indicators Used:**
- Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin.
- Liquidation heat map for Bitcoin.
- **Entry/Exit Rules & Suggested Trades:**
- Bitcoin: No explicit entry/exit rules given, but Nick is cautious about the current setup and mentions a potential breakdown around $25,000.
- Quant: No explicit entry/exit rules given, but the surge in price could indicate a potential trade opportunity.
- Altcoins: Nick is currently in a trade involving some altcoins, but no details were provided.
- **Timeframes Mentioned:**
- Bitcoin: 1-hour candles for recent price action, daily RSI for trend analysis.
- Quant: 24-hour period for the price surge.
- Altcoins: Not specified.
- **Risk Management Tips:**
- Nick mentions that Bitcoin is getting close to its support range, implying that a breakdown could be imminent.
- He also expresses caution about MicroStrategy's stock dilution and its potential impact on the company's finances.
Summary ready
Transcript
I grew up with nothing. Success felt impossible until I found crypto in 2018. I made every mistake chasing hype and holding coins to nearly zero. I then found technical analysis and it changed everything. [music] My perspective on this industry and my success within it. Now, I'm passing that knowledge on to you. Welcome to Bitcoin Revealed, the true story. >> Hey folks, Nick Valdez here, chief crypto strategist for Verified Investing. And today, we got to talk about the Bitcoin pullback and what exactly happening and the key levels that we're going to be talking about. We hit a target of support that tagged our level exactly and ended up bouncing from there. So, we're going to give you some of the upcoming levels that I'm paying attention to, folks. Also, we're going to look at Quant. Why did that token surge 140% in a 24-hour period? And not only that, we're going to look at hype, Sui, Ethereum, some of your favorite altcoins and I'll tell you about the trade that I'm in right now, folks, that I'm in currently. Is this a fake channel? It is the real channel and I really hope you guys smash that like button, everybody. It really helps us out in the YouTube algorithm. We really do appreciate it. So, let's jump into the Bitcoin chart. And this is the key level of support that we've been talking about for a very long time. This is going into the November wick into the May high. I don't know how many times I've been saying that, but we keep hitting these levels. And if you look at the recent price action, in fact, let's zoom into the 1-hour candles on Bitcoin. You can see, wow, tagged it, bounced off it perfectly, but I do not like this action, folks. I do not like the action as we continue to retest this. And one of you viewers out there were saying, "Hey, we got a little bit of a bull flag." But is that a bear flag within the bull flag? Uh at this point, it's it's looking a little negated as we put in a much lower low around that area. You want it to be around a 90-degree angle and a 90-degree angle would look like this. And since we are kind of going lower, it makes it slightly greater than a 90-degree angle. So, I'm not liking the bear flag, but let's zoom in a little bit, folks. I am There are a couple things I want to talk about. One is going to be the daily RSI. I am putting a big frown face on this daily RSI. And what is the RSI? Well, it's the relative strength index and it just shows the strength of a market. And you can see right now that the price is putting in higher highs, but this daily RSI is putting in lower highs. And so, this is a bearish divergence or a negative divergence on the RSI. And folks, I'm just going to be honest with you. Uh this is increasingly odds for a breakdown. Another thing increasingly odds for a breakdown is Big shoutout to Guns N' Roses. We keep knock knock knocking on heaven's door. The more we knock on this door, the more likely we're going to fall through this one. And I had to throw in the GNR reference. Uh they're on the VMAs last night. So, I want to show you that. But Bitcoin, the more it tests that range, the more likely it's going to lose that range. But, I think a slightly more probable take is it's going to bounce inside that range. I don't think I'm not ready to say we're dipping below that yellow rectangle that I've been pointing out for a while, but it's getting [snorts] a little bit close. Now, let's talk about other Bitcoin news. MicroStrategy, they bought Bitcoin. But how did they fund it? And also, Wall Street. What is Wall Street doing? Wall Street is buying. They are buying more ETFs. Uh the ETFs inflows. And so, this is just, you know, the IBIT, Fidelity. In this case, Bitwise sold a little bit. Wall Street clients are buying Bitcoin. So, they're having BlackRock buy more and more Bitcoin. BlackRock ended up buying around 1,100 Bitcoin on Friday. What I'm very interested in seeing is can the 7-day inflow streak continue with 10-year yields being as high as they are. Cuz right now we're seeing shockingly high 10-year yield rates. And so that's making it more expensive to finance a car, to finance a home. Probably going to see a little bit of a pullback in home prices here. And you know, it creates a easy way to get risk, well, relatively risk-free capital. So you can buy a 10-year bond and get like 5.2%. If we go to 5.28%, that is a 25-year high, technically 24-year high. We haven't seen a level that high since 2002. Right now, we're at a 19-year high. And so 10-year yields as being as elevated as they are today, can Wall Street continue to buy? All eyes are going to be on that. Let's talk about MicroStrategy for a little bit, folks. Uh MicroStrategy was originally a Bob Dylan song. I I I guess I am a youngster. I'm sorry I don't know your 1920s reference. It's 50s, I know. All right, let's look at strategy strategy. This is their 13 uh F filing for their form 8K. So it's a 8K here. Uh you can see section 13, but let's uh keep scrolling here. So form 8K, what's what's their 8K form here? Well, it's just breaking down what they did. So they sold stock. They sold over a million shares here. They got 246 million dollars. So what does this mean in simple terms? They diluted their shares to raise their cash. What did they do with that cash? That's the big question. Well, they bought 1,600 Bitcoin. So they ended up spending 142 million, average price of $85,000. Now remember, they got 240 million. They only spent 140 million on Bitcoin. What do they do with the rest? Well, they bought back some of their STRC, but they spent more than the 100 million, so they actually dipped into their cash pile. STRC isn't trading at $100, and they actually spent an additional 48 million to buy some back of the STRC stock, and this is not great, folks. They had to spend 22 million out of their cash reserves to fund the dividends on its preferred stock. So, they have the MicroStrategy stock, and then they have another stock that's supposed to be around $100, that's supposed to pay around 10%. 10% yield, very close to 1% a month. And so, every month they have to come up with money to pay their shareholders of that STRC. So, you know, I just not a big fan of them diluting their stock. I'm not the biggest fan of MicroStrategy. When Bitcoin goes up, sure, it goes up higher, but when Bitcoin falls, it also falls harder. And so, me, I'd rather just buy the orange coin. I'd rather just buy Bitcoin. Did you comment deleted? No, we see your comments. Uh Sweet Child o' Mine. November Rain, November Rain. Put it down in the comments, what's the best Guns N' Roses song? Uh shout out to Axl Rose, you know, before he changed his face. I shouldn't say that, I shouldn't say that. Uh let's look at Bitcoin's liquidation heat map. Now, on the top right, you can see this is the 3-day liquidation heat map. So, we're looking at Bitcoin's price action over the weekend. And what are the bright lines? I like, you know, some of you folks, you know, like, "Hey, I'm not sure what what this is. Can you kind of explain it to me?" So, you know, try to do a quick breakdown here. You can see the Bitcoin price, right? That's your normal chart. You see the prices on the right side. This is just like a normal chart. You see the dates on the bottom. Uh today is, you know, the 28th, so we see Sunday the 27th, Saturday the 26th, little bit of Friday the 25th there. So, we're seeing the the three the past three days. And so, Bitcoin, when it goes when it clears these lines, when it cuts into these colors, those are trades getting liquidated. And you can see there is you know, basically a lot of shorts got liquidated. People were shorting Bitcoin, price kept pumping, wiped them out. And you can see that left all these longs. So this means a lot of traders in profit. So what ended up happening? Bitcoin came down, came down on Sunday, sliced into these liquidation zones on this liquidation heat map and wiped out these traders. Now it's going to be interesting to see who is going to blink first. Are these little bit of longs going to get liquidated or are these shorts going to get liquidated? But these gave you very good targets for some trades folks. And so that's why I just really like looking at this. I going to hit we can zoom into the 12 hour if you want. Yeah, we looks like these longs might have to cut into these longs right above $82,000. We will check back in on that tomorrow folks. Let's see if that liquidation heat map continues to play out. Let's talk about Ethereum now. Don't worry, I saw your comments. Hype, Sui, we'll look at those folks. And I'll talk about the Quant pump and why exactly it pumped. Do you need a subscription? No, you just got to sign into an account. It's there are more expensive options though as well. All right, so this is ETH on the one day. I've been talking about this level. I did not have any trade setups. But if you go into this wick, into this wick, it kind of intersects with this wick and then it ended up being support. We were kind of lamenting yesterday or yesterday, Friday. We were lamenting Friday that we already had this level set up. This is going to be Friday This is right when we did our show on Friday, 1:00 p.m. So it's going to be about right here. This is our This is where we're at. I was like, man, I had this level. I didn't put in a long. Well, I should have put in a long. If we continue to play this out, look at that cut right into our level. And so the question might be, what's the next level? Uh like look at this though. Look at this. We're kind of hitting against some resistance, folks. We are hitting against resistance right now as we speak. I am not quite prepared to put in a short, but uh it's it's looking a little bit juicy, folks. It's looking a little bit juicy for a short entry, but this wedge is narrowing, so ETH is going to have to choose a direction. Let's go into hyper liquid. Hyper liquid, the 1-hour RSI starting to look good. We can see much lower lows while the RSI is flat. As soon as this RSI hits oversold, buyers step in and they push the price up. And so, right now, you know, I mean, we could continue to print these though. We can keep going lower while this RSI stays flat. It can It can go for days and days. Don't don't think it has to reverse right now. But, I am liking uh you know, I'm liking what I'm seeing on hyper liquid. Keep an eye out on this descending trendline. If we go to the daily, you know, a little bit of a bull flag. Little bit of a bull flag. Uh there are rules. There's rules to the game. Uh there's rules to bull flags, and it needs to be a 45° angle. And I would say this fits that criteria of a 90° angle for hyper liquid. Uh just a little bit of a a tip for you. If it goes above that, uh you know, that's that's not a bull flag. That's not a bull flag. And, you know, conversely for bear flags as well. So, little little TA tutelage for you there. Uh nice alliteration. Now, let's also look at some other altcoins, folks. Let's look at Solana. Where are we at on Solana? Solana didn't hit our level. This is the 1-day chart. We almost hit it yester- or yeah, yesterday. This is the level we've been talking about uh you know, pointed out the the level from December of 2023. You can see it acted as support, acted as support, then turned into resistance. That's December all the way back in 2023. Came so close. Came so close. I wouldn't be surprised if we do end up testing this RSI on the daily, also not looking great. A much higher high while the RSI is lower. Looks like Solana might be heading down. Let's talk about Quant. Quant, why the heck did Quant pump? Quant? That dead coin? Quant? What's my Quant say about it? Well, I'm your Quant. I'm your crypto Quant. Quant ended up teaming up with Clearinghouse. It's a bank consortium. Bank of America, City, uh tons and tons of banks. A lot of banks, you know, use are in this Clearinghouse consortium. They talk about, you know, common framework, common rules, common just uh ways for these banks to communicate to each other cuz when bank A sends money to bank B, you know, you can't have one, you know, say it's in China. Can't have one speaking Mandarin, one speaking Cantonese. You know, they they kind of need to have a common framework. Well, American banks are doing the same thing and especially within the Clearinghouse. So, Quant just signed with the Clearinghouse to be the de facto blockchain. And look at this pump, folks. For uh just basically the online money markets. Huge. These are daily candles. Huge. Huge pump, everybody. Huge pump. Uh suspiciously front ran, but you know, we're we're not going to get into all that. All this was front ran. Look at this move right here. These are 1-hour candles. So, this is 18 hours ago. So, if we go 24 hours ago, we are still up. We are still up over the last 24 hours. But, this move has almost completely been wiped out. Now, this was a a magnificent move to the upside. Basically 24 hours, I was pretty close there. Uh 200% pump. That's not a 2x. That's a 3x, okay? 100% is a 2x, 200% is a 3x. This price tripled in 1 day. A tripling, okay? Not a triple witching, a tripling. But, it did also pull back. Pulled back pretty considerably. We grab our measuring tool. You see, at one point, this fell 40% in 11 hours, 46%. So, major major pull back on that one. Let's talk about the the potential, you know, to me, pretty strong resistance. I think 426 is going to be tough to beat. You have this ascending trend line. You have this prior tip from September of 2021. So, just major major moves. It is not many coins. You see them higher than the price in 2000 November of 2004 December of 2004 2024. And so, hey, if you're holding Quant, and you had Quant, and you didn't sell your Quant, congratulations. Uh you know, take yourself out for some ice cream, okay? Go get yourself a milkshake. Good good move. What did we do? Did we trade it? I traded it. What did I do? I shorted that thing. I shorted that stupid coin. Uh major major profit on that one. I've closed this position entirely. Let's talk about why it pumped, everybody. Uh you know, it has the big bank thing. So, now we're starting to see other coins pump. Coins that are within this ISO 222 or, you know, basically 20,022. Uh you hear like 222's what a lot of people call it. The ISO compliant. And so, when it's this compliant cryptocurrency, this is just kind of a framework of how this token communicates to other oracles, communicates in a interoperability layer. I don't want to get too deep into the weeds of crypto. But, I, you know, we're seeing a HBAR pump. We saw the Quant pump. We saw XDC pump. Today, we're also seeing Algorand pump. Keep an eye out on XRP, XLM, and Cardano, okay? Keep an eye out on those three altcoins, folks. And uh looking at HBAR here, I, you know, I'm I'm I this is the my current trade. This is the what I would be looking at, folks, for a trade. I'm looking around 13, above 13 cents. But, you know, if you want to get an aggressive entry, I'm not going to fault you for maybe uh you know, shorting HBAR here. The reason we're looking at HBAR for a potential short, and specifically above 13 cents, is this pivot high. I really really like a short at 134. But, you can maybe you know, get in a little bit early on that one. Let's zoom into the 15-minute chart. Oh, yeah, this thing's moving. This thing's moving. It's looking primed. Did it tag 13 while we're live? It might actually tag 13. It Oh my god, I want to short this thing. Let me know in the comments, live chat, should I put, you know, just a $1,000 20X short? Should we put a thousand on a short here? Let me know. Let me know. I'll do it. I'll do it. Don't Don't uh don't tease me with a good time. All right, let's look at SWE. You guys were talking about SWE. SWE on the hourly actually looking kind of good. Uh you can see, you know, a little bit of a bull div here. You can see slightly higher high on the RSI. And it's going lower. So, we have a lower I said higher high, higher low, higher low here, and a lower low. So, we got a nice little bull div on the hourly. I, you know, a safer trade is going to be, you know, wait for this trend line, cuz we might put in a couple bull uh bull divs on the hourly. But, above, you know, definitely uh some levels if it continues to pump. I would be looking to short at this pivot high that we saw back then. So, keep an eye out on that for SWE, everybody. Uh it's going to be the level I'm paying attention to. Also, always just put in your altcoins. Let me know what altcoins you want me to cover. I'm more than happy to look at any particular altcoin, as long as it has a decent market cap, folks. A decent market cap. Not something small, not no micro cap. Uh the date on that, by the way, was, if you're wondering chart this at home, 10th of May, 10th of May 2026. So, that's the level I'm going to be paying attention to. I do have a uh short on Arrow. Uh jumped in right at that pivot high. Uh put in a order. I did put in a order here. And so, this is kind of kind of in the negative, but yeah, this RSI is not looking great. Uh this is looking like it wants to maybe potentially pull back. And a a safe entry is going to be right at this pivot low. We have a nice little trend line forming. Are we hitting it? Let's hit this button. Uh breaking above. Breaking above. But yeah, uh come here around 86. Safe entry uh or aggressive entry around 82.8. So, we'll just say 83 cents. And then another entry around 85 and 86. After that, cut your losses and run, folks. You got to cut those losses. Now, I asked you last week, are we in a bear market? The The results are in. What did you guys say? We got about I I just put it here because it's indicative about two yeses for every one no. So, about one out of three of you are saying, "Bear market's not over. We are going lower than 58k." Two out of three are saying, "Yes, 58k was the bottom." So, I just want to put that little bit of data point on your radar. Something to keep an eye out on. Uh look at Injective. I can look at Injective real quick. Injective, you guys uh often do uh request that one. So, Not good. It's not good. Uh losing this range, where all these wicks are, not exactly great. Uh coming in lower than that, that is not what you want to see. And is this kind of Yeah, losing that as well. >> [snorts] >> That's not good. That's not good. Uh so, okay. Okay, you got a little bit of hope. We could just be retesting this pivot top. That's that's your glimmer of hope. That's your glimmer of hope. Maybe you're going to get lucky. Maybe it is going to bounce. This could potentially act as support. So, maybe maybe that could end up holding for you. Zcash is just kind of boring. It is heading down slightly. We're kind of predicting a short on that one. You know, not moving down as fast as some people want, especially if you're trading with a lot of leverage there. But, that's I I would keep an eye out on. Hey, thank God I I got out of watching the YouTuber actors that really play on the emotions. Yeah, we like to stay about facts. We like to look at levels. We like to look at technicals. And we like to, you know, maybe impart some crypto, you know, just say knowledge, you know, the ISO narrative. What is an RSI? A little bit of bull flag tutelage there. So, yeah, yeah, I I try to keep it I try to get away from the XRP $2,000. You know, I'm I'm not I'm never going to be that guy. Unless you're talking about Cardano, in which case it's going to do 100. I'm just kidding. It is not going to go to 100. But, everybody smash the like button. I do appreciate all of you guys' support. I like responding to you folks in the comment section. So, feel free. I respond to all of you folks. Sup? Sup? Holler at all y'all. $1,000 20X. All right. All right. I'll do it. I'll do it. I'm I'm a I'm a enter a short. I'm entering a short. I will see you folks in the future and we'll check in on that trade. All right. Bye-bye.