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BITCOIN REVEALED: The True Story | September 29, 2026
Channel: Verified Investing YouTube
Watch on YouTube · 2026-09-28
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AI Summary
**Summary:**
- **Stock Tickers & Price Levels:**
- Bitcoin (BTC): Support at $19,500 (November 2021 wick), Resistance at $24,000 (All-time high), Target around $20,000 (based on historical Bitcoin-Gold ratio)
- Gold: Not specified, but used as a reference for Bitcoin's price action
- Cardono (ADA) & XRP: Mentioned in passing, no specific price levels given
- ZRO (Zero): Mentioned as a trade, no specific price levels given
- **Key Trading Strategy:**
- Focus on Bitcoin's price action and its relationship with gold
- Look for Bitcoin's strength within the broader crypto market cap (Bitcoin Dominance)
- Consider long positions in Bitcoin and altcoins when Bitcoin dominance breaks down from its parallel range
- **Indicators Used:**
- Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin on 15-minute candles
- Bitcoin-Gold ratio for long-term Bitcoin price analysis
- Bitcoin Dominance for tracking Bitcoin's strength within the crypto market
- **Entry/Exit Rules & Suggested Trades:**
- **Entry:** Bitcoin: Buy on RSI oversold conditions (<30) on 15-minute candles, Bitcoin dominance breakdown from parallel range. Altcoins: Buy when Bitcoin dominance breaks down and altcoins outperform Bitcoin.
- **Exit:** Bitcoin: Not specified, but potential targets around $20,000 based on historical Bitcoin-Gold ratio. Altcoins: Not specified, but suggested to take profits on significant moves (e.g., 50% or 100% gains)
- **Timeframes Mentioned:**
- 15-minute candles for Bitcoin RSI analysis
- 4-hour candles for Bitcoin's price action and Bitcoin dominance analysis
- Weekly candles for Bitcoin-Gold ratio analysis
- No specific timeframe mentioned for Cardono (ADA), XRP, or ZRO trades
- **Risk Management Tips:**
- Not explicitly stated, but implied to use stop-loss orders to manage risk (e.g., "when it goes down, that might mean Bitcoin... is going up, but your altcoin is going up 50%")
- Diversify portfolio by including both Bitcoin and altcoins
Summary ready
Transcript
I grew up with nothing. Success felt impossible until I found crypto in 2018. I made every mistake, chasing hype and holding coins to nearly zero. I then found technical analysis and it changed everything. [music] My perspective on this industry and my success within it. Now I'm passing that knowledge on to you. Welcome to Bitcoin Revealed, the true story. >> Hey folks, Nick Valdez here, chief crypto strategist for Verified Investing. And today we're going to talk about Bitcoin and gold and their relationship together and what that means for Bitcoin's price action as we head into Q4, everybody. Because right now we are knocking on the door of October and that's going to be one of the final three months of the year and aka Q4 which is where Bitcoin does start to see a lot of activity. And I do want to give a quick shout out to Bitbase everybody. We're going to have a link down below and I'll tell you about the zero trade I'm in right now. ZRO and just you know maybe some levels for some other trades that I gave on this channel yesterday talking about you Cardono and XRP. Let's start with Bitcoin everybody. Bitcoin still interacting with our level. This is, you know, I'm almost sound like a broken record at this point. The November wick into the May high. That gives us our little bit of a consolidation range. And you can see we knocked against it before we were able to burst through. You knocked on it again and then we were able to start feeling bullish again. Everybody was flying high last week. Everybody thought the bull run was just going to continue forever. But now we're starting to chop. Everybody is starting to chop sideways. starting to chop a little to the downside. But if we go to the one hour chart here, uh we got on the 4 hour rather, you can see Bitcoin bouncing off of this range almost to a dollar, almost to a penny. Uh almost hit it, not quite, but Bitcoin now starting to feel a little bit of strength, folks. We are starting to see a little bit of positive price action in the charts, and that's exactly what we want to see with Bitcoin. Let's zoom in a little bit. I want to show you something with the RSI here. So, this is the 15minute candles. We hit oversold and now Bitcoin's starting to bounce a little bit. This is the RSI that we're looking at on the bottom here. So, uh just something to pay attention to, folks. Let's talk about Bitcoin and gold and what is their relationship together and what does it mean for Bitcoin moving forward, like I said, as we head into Q4. So, I pointed something out and I kind of want to reiterate this is a long time ago. was may even been like a month and a half ago I was talking about this. But what we're looking at here is Bitcoin priced in gold. You can see it right there. BTCUSD that you know the ratio of gold here. And you see a number on the right. What is the number on the right? That is the amount of ounces of gold each bitcoin buys you. So when you see the number 20 that means one bitcoin buys 20 ounces of gold. And uh the chart on the side, you know, you can see it going up and down. So, not that long ago, it was only 12 ounces of gold. Now, it's trading up to 20 ounces of gold. Now, this is the the high for Bitcoin. December of 2024. One Bitcoin bought you 40 ounces of gold. And then there was a strong drawback. We're going to go to the weekly chart here. Spoiler alert. It fell for 62 weeks and then it found a bottom. So it went from 40 really 42 41 41 some change 41 ounces of gold all the way down to a dozen ounces of gold and then Bitcoin started to climb as far as the price of gold is concerned. This is what we just saw as far as a draw down. Well, look at this folks. Let me uh fix this yaxis. This is the previous cycle. Now, we're looking at Bitcoin's all-time high right around October, November 2021. And it started to fall, and you can see that red candle right there that essentially marked the bottom before we started seeing green candles. What do you know? Also, 62 weeks. So, it fell for 62 weeks recently. It fell for 62 weeks the prior cycle. Well, spoiler alert. You ready to look at the previous cycle, everybody? This is where things start getting really fascinating. Look at this. Now, we're talking about 2017. This is Bitcoin's previous all-time, you know, two cycles ago. December of 2017, Bitcoin, you know, knocked on the door of $20,000. How long did it fall? Basically, 62 weeks. 60 weeks right here. 420 days. Bitcoin would go all the way from 16 ounces of gold all the way down to 3 ounces of gold. And this is just nuts, folks. Go even further. Now, we're looking at the candle November of 2013 and it fell for 59 weeks. So 59 60 626 62. But now let's look at the next part. All right. So it falls. Tell me what happens next everybody. Well this is what happened next. Bitcoin decided to run for years against gold. We go to the next one. Bitcoin had a little bit of a pullback but it put in a higher low and then it went on a nice bull run against gold. This is just a continuous bull run, then a pullback, then the nice blowoff rally. And this is what we're looking at right here. So, Bitcoin, you know, as far as gold is concerned, starting to look a little bit bullishy, kind of almost a little bit of a bull flag. Then it starts to move up. Kind of negates the bull flag. Then we got a bull flag. Then we got a bull flag. And I mean, let's zoom into the 4 hour. Could it be? Oh, that's right. Yeah, they don't want you to look. You have you have to get like the thousand uh trading view to look at that. Something interesting to throw on your radar, a different unique Bitcoin chart that not a lot of people talk about, Bitcoin dominance. This shows Bitcoin's strength within the the broader market cap of all cryptocurrencies. And so when Bitcoin dominance goes up, that means Bitcoin's share of the crypto space is growing. But oftentimes what happens when Bitcoin's price goes down say 2% you'll see altcoins go down 4% 5% 10%. And that will make the Bitcoin dominance go up. So often times Bitcoin dominance goes up Bitcoin is falling. It's just not falling as much. And so when Bitcoin dominance goes down oftentimes Bitcoin the price is heading higher but the altcoins are outperforming it. And you don't see that every time, but that's just more often than not, that is what the dynamics of the crypto market's going to look like. And on a technical basis, we are breaking down out of this parallel range. And so remember, so when when it goes down, just to repeat myself, when it goes down, that might mean Bitcoin, you know, might be going up 1%, but your altcoin is going up 5%. Or Bitcoin's going up 10%, but maybe your altcoin is going up 50%. And if we can continue the breakdown, what we need to do is lose this trend line. Uh this is going to go all the way back of June of 2025. And then you see we hit it here. This establishes our trend line. Kind of chopped around, consolidated, bounced along it, bounced along it. We need to keep hitting on this, hitting on this, and then that's when we're going to potentially see your Bitcoin goes up 10%, your favorite altcoin going up 50%, going up 100%. uh that's when you really start to see those really nutty moves in the market. Now, what are we seeing with the crypto space? Well, right now, all eyes on the 10-year yield. I don't want to focus on this too much. The reason I'm talking about this on a crypto show is this is really shaking the markets. 10-year yield. And this is the most closely related one when it comes to buying a house. I explain why in a minute. We are hitting a level we haven't seen in a very, very long time. Now, let me uh stretch this out. Let's get our horizontal line. We're at a 19-year high. We're about to be at a 25 24 year high. And so, if we go all the way back 2009, we are hitting this level. Now, it does look like it's starting to pull back a little bit from this. But if we Yeah, even higher, folks. Even higher. It is, like we said, it is pulling back a little bit. That was from the wick. Then we're going to look at levels we haven't seen since the year 2002. Now, the reason the 10-year yield drives what your 30-year mortgage is going to be, this is an interesting fact, by the way. Smash that like button, everybody. If you like the little uh, you know, the the little factoids here, the average mortgage is only 10 years. You say, "Well, I'm not paying it off in 10 years." That's because homes sell. And when that house sells, that closes the loan. And on a, you know, related note, I I think I closed on my house today. I'm waiting for the money to hit my bank account. Oh, what should I do with all that money? Now, I'm probably gonna obviously save some for the next down payment, but should I yellow into an altcoin? Let me know what altcoin it should be, folks. All right, let's look at the liquidation heat map on Bitcoin. Then, we'll look at we'll glance at some altcoins here. This is the 24hour. Yeah, 24hour heat map. You can see Bitcoin's price action heading sideways, moving up, moving down, moving up, moving down. And the when you see levels get sliced into these bright horizontal lines get sliced into that means there are liquidations. And so we got some we got some data around 10:00 a.m. Jolts job data. Uh we also had consumer confidence data that came out around 10:00 a.m. You see 9:55 10 a.m. hits the 10 10:05. Boom. We started to see a major pullback. Major pullback. This coincided with the yields going up. All these longs on Bitcoin got liquidated and there's another bright line right around 82. So, it looks like we might need to flush a little above 82 before we head up and then we start wiping out the short entries. Let's look at some altcoins, everybody. Let's look at Ethereum. Ethereum still continuing to interact with our level right here. Uh, this is nothing crazy, you know, we're just going into the wick into the wick. This gives us our established trend line and then it hits again right there. Consolidates. Bounces off that level. Hold support. Hold support. Now we hit it recently. Just like drawing this out, folks. Bam. Look at that. And so if we continue to fall down, this is the level that I'm expecting some relief for ex uh ETH. That's where I might expect a little bit of a bounce. Folks, let's go to the next altcoin here. We're going to be looking at the, you know what we're looking at, folks. You know what we're looking at? We're looking at the major movers. Big big move with a today. A kind of piggybacking off some of the altcoin pump that we saw yesterday from the ISO uh o or ISO ISO 222 pump, quant pumped, har chain link pump. We saw all these pumps here. I'm looking at this level for a for a potential short, but I don't know. We might already be seeing the pullback. So, if we consolidate overnight, do another push up, I like a short right around 180. That's going to be the level that I'm going to be paying attention to for a for a potential short. Let's look at Zcash. We talked about Zcash looking terrible on the daily RSI. These are called bare diversions, bare divs for short. Price heading higher highs, RSI lower highs. This gave us a little bit of a sign. And so a one of the biggest gainers. Zcash, one of the biggest losers. But in the top 100, you know, is losing even more than Zcash. Where's my barbarians at? I mean, I shouldn't have I almost ripped my suit in half, man. I was like uh The Rock in the stupid HBO show about sports agents, but HAR Barbarian, the H barbarian community, they are in shambles today, folks. They are not liking what they see here. Uh, great insights. Hey, I appreciate it. You ready for an insight on H bar? Hopefully, we see a nice rotation out of gold into crypto. Well, that might be what we're about to face, but might see a little bit of a pullback. I was looking with gold. That Bitcoin gold chart, there's a pullback after like 160 days, after 180 days, after 200 days. We're kind of right in that range right now. We're at 190 days. So, we might see a little bit of a consolidation for a month, but then maybe we'll see some moves. Uhoh. Wow. It wasn't this low when I was charting this earlier. Uh, let's This is This is scary, folks. This is scary. Might be a little bit of a long opportunity, but look at this trend line. This is pretty cool stuff right here. This is HAR. And look at that, folks. Maybe move it just a little bit higher. Uh, H bar trying to potentially break this level. Let's go to the one minute. Yeah, this is looking ugly, folks. Looking ugly. Now, I did do a scalp long. Uh, scalp long from there. I closed it already, but uh might have to play again. Might have to play into the markets again. So, that might be a potential trade setup for you right now, folks. Potential trade setup. I put in some longs overnight on Cardano and XRP. I closed 75% of them, so it's just a small position right now. Now, it looks like a little bit uh you know, in the negative there, but I will show you my orders, folks. Uh XRP, wow, could that be close? This is a trade I put in yesterday and it's literally at the same level to like a hundth of a penny. So, that's pretty interesting. I like these uh limit orders. A little bit lower right here near this wick from September 24th. So, you know, you're looking about a week ago and then a little bit lower kind of interacting with the wicks that we see right here. So, it's going to be maybe a nice potential long area for XRP. Uh the the orders this you can see right here. Opened it around 24 cents, closed it around 25, opened that around 148, closed it at 155 for ADA and XRP made a 270 bucks. Nothing crazy. Nothing crazy. I'm looking at ICP also putting in a major pump. What's going on? Who is buying ICP? Is this literally just Insane Clown Posi members? I hope not. I just listened to Eminem uh second album on just, you know, old oldie but goody nostalgic. It's like, what what's up with your obsession with ICP? Uh, I'm not going to get into the the graphic nature of some of the skits on that album, but Eminem, you got a dirty mind, bro. You got a dirty mind. Look at this trend line, though, on the hourly on ICP. This is a very tradable level. Ah, man. I wish I would have spotted this one a little bit sooner. I wish I would have spotted this four hours ago. Uh, just keep an eye on this. I'm not recommending any kind of long on ICP and I never will. I'm I'm just kidding. You know, give me the show me the technicals, okay? You don't hate it, you don't date it, you just trade it. But I do like a short if we interact with this level again. So, keep an eye out on that for ICP. And right now, I'm kind of liking what I see with the RSI. Whoa, never mind. I was prepping this show earlier and you know, 15 20 minutes earlier, right? These are one minute candles. So 369 uh 9 minutes ago the RSI reset. This was looking a little bit bullish. You can see a lower low on the price, higher low on RSI. You shouldn't put too much weight into small time frame RSIs, but if you're scalping, you know, it's it's definitely something you can do. Uh zero got a lot of liquidation levels that it's it's kind of tapping into right now, but right now that's looking like a bare flag. So you might not want to get into a position on that one, folks. So maybe uh tread carefully. Tread very carefully. Take zero steps onto that one. Uh everybody make sure don't put everything you have in a dog whiff hat. Okay. Do not do that. Do not do I'm Scarboro man. We're like the Marbor man because you're blowing smoke up our audiences. You know what? But everybody hit the like button. I appreciate all your comments. I I try to respond to everybody. I think I pretty much do a good job of responding to everybody. You know, if you comment 23 hours after the live stream, I'm already prepping for the next one. But, you know, I I I jump in there. I chop it up with you guys. A lot of interesting insights, a lot of interesting takes. And I ask you guys, you know, is the bare market over? Like two out of three are saying, "Yeah, the bare market's over." But one out of three saying, "No, we're we're heading much lower." So, I I I just like hearing from you folks. I love whiff. Well, I didn't mean to to whiff on your altcoin there, folks. But that's our show for today. I do appreciate you guys sticking around till the end as always and until next time folks, I will see you in the future. Appreciate it. Byebye.