Bollinger Bands Explained (Oracle, Netflix, XRP)
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This is the trading playbook where the charts do the talking and every session makes you a better trader. Hello everyone, Lton here with Verified Investing and I am here to talk about something we all have wondered and it's been one of the most highly requested topics on the trading playbook. But before I get any further, I just ask you guys while you're here to like this comment, right? Subscribe to the Verified Investing YouTube channel and leave a comment down below of what you want me to cover next. I literally took this suggestion and decided to cover this because of your comments in the videos this past weekend. So, I hope you guys are good. I'm good. All is well. But anyways, in today's video, we're going to be talking about Ballinger Bands. That is the play So, I'll go ahead and share my charts, and you can see that I've gone ahead and turned on these Ballinger bands. So, I'll show you exactly how I found them, right? If you're in Trading View, and you can do this with any of the indicators that I go over or choose to do, you just type in Ballinger Ballinger bands right here, and they're already on your chart. And they apply to pretty much any chart you can think of. Cryptocurrency, um, stocks, ETFs, gold, you name it. Commodities, it all is valid. The question is, what are Ballinger bands, right? What are they? Let me go ahead and tell you what they are. So, these are bands based on the 20 SMA or the 20 simple moving average. Now, we've gone ahead and previously covered moving averages, right? So, if you if you want a little refresher, you can go watch one of those videos where I talk about golden crosses, death crosses, and moving averages in general. In short, right, it is the average price, right, of any of these candles, but based on the previous 20 candles. And in this case, right, in this case, we're on the daily chart. It's the price of any of these things with the average calculated based on the last 20 days, right? And that is that thin blue line here if you're able to see it. Now, the upper band and lower bands of these are the two deviation bands standard deviations away from this SMA. Right? So this is two standard deviations below the average and this is two standard deviations above the average. But there's a couple ways to use this, right? And just simply taking a look at the chart, right? You could say, well, they're pretty good at predicting levels of support and resistance, right? You can see that for the most part, right after every single point where we went ahead and pierced or traded alongside these um Ballinger bands, got to that second deviation away from the basically 20 SMA, you saw a pullback here. You saw at least a 2% pullback here. Obviously, this is earnings, so it's a little different, but you had 11% pullback. Even here where you're not seeing a whole lot where it's chopping around it, you still had the potential to get a 3% bounce there. And if you time it correctly, you could get in this case a 10% pop in your direction. But the person this was named after, Mr. Ballinger created a different classification system and used something that you that identified M tops and W bottoms in order to find potential trades, right? Great areas of support and resistance, right? And as you can see here, this is just a random chart I pulled up just of Netflix. We can go to any chart. Let's say for example I want to go and take a look at Oracle. I have my bands on and let's see if we can go ahead and find anything that that shows us that hey this is accurate right this can be useful. So there are a couple things we need to follow when we are utilizing uh the W and M pattern. First of all what is a W bottom and an M top pattern? A W bottom is a bullish reversal. I'll go ahead and write this down for you because I'm I know I'm saying a lot. And you can write this down on a piece of paper or whatever you're following along on. Pattern indicates bullish reversal. Now, it has to follow basically four rules, right? For a W pattern, right? Number one verse the first low has to pierce or touch pierce touch lower band. Okay. Number two, it has to bounce back toward the middle band. Basically this 20 SMA here. Number three, the second low should stay inside the the lower band. Stay inside the lower lower band. And finally, and this is confirmation. confirmation is it's officially confirmed when price breaks above the peak of the first bounce. Okay, basically this is a W pattern. An M pattern would basically be the opposite, right? An M pattern is a bearish reversal and the first high would need to pierce or touch that upper band. You have to have a pullback towards the middle band and then the second high needs to stay inside the upper band even if price goes above it. Which means price in a W pattern. The second low is can go lower than the first low as long as it stays within the band and there's confirmation when price B breaks the low of that pullback. So let's see on this totally random chart if we can find a W or M pattern. And in this case, right, I can already see a couple levels that potentially could be constituted as a M pattern or W pattern. So let's start with this one here. And it's a little smaller, right? A little smaller, but it's still valid. First you see this, right? W pattern and then you have a nice push up. Back to our notes, right? What happened? This first low pierces or touches and it came well below this second deviation band, the lower band of this Ballinger band. Then you had a bounce up 18% towards the middle, right towards the middle. of the band. Then you had another pullback and you can see this second low did not touch the lower band here. And then when price got above this previous high right here, which you can see it struggled at, right? There was plenty of resistance in and around here. Once it finally pushed up, boom, look at this great move up and the stock went ripping on Oracle there. Right, that's the W pattern. Now, we want to go ahead and find the opposite, right? Looking for kind of an M pattern, right? See if there are any potentially good M patterns. And you could, right? And I don't love to use this, right? You could use this, but one thing to note, earnings, right? You see earnings down here. The stock pushed up off of earnings, right? But you had a nice push up, right? Which is going to be the opposite of that W pattern. You came down right towards the middle and then you made a second push up and then when you finally broke right finally broke these pivots that previously served as resistance or support rather you did have a decent fall right and the stock continued to fall right and that's a way that you could use these Ballinger bands with a W pattern and an M pattern. pattern. There are tons and tons of ways, guys, to use these Ballinger bands, but I'm just trying to keep it as simple as possible and just go over this W and M pattern first. There's ways to use MACD. There's ways that you can use volume, um, RSI, tons of different ways you can lower it. But in general, guys, you can see that on any chart, right? Let's let's cover something like XRP for example that in general yes there are some cases with extreme moves but within normal trading generally whenever you get pierces of either the upper band or a lower band. You'll see a bounce off the lower and a pullback from the upper just using this 20 simple moving average as well as the two deviation bands or two standard deviations in either direction. All right, but with that being said, that's all I have for you today. Again, my name is Lenho here with Verified Investing. Let me know how I did. Um, that was really complicated and I was doing my best to kind of make it as simple as possible for all of you at home. Please remember to like this video and subscribe. And guys, guys, guys, the options conversion secret, a brand new show with uh Jake and Tabby goes live on Monday, right? And basically what it is is a show that tells you everything you need to know about options. I don't have much if any experience with options at all. So this is going to be a very very useful show for me. It's on every single day, every single weekday I should say, starting at 1 p.m. and it's uh it's filmed live. So it should be a lot of fun. Um and I'm looking forward to it. Okay. Hope you guys have a great rest of your Saturday and I can't wait to talk to you tomorrow where I give you three actionable trade setups using these Ballinger bands we talked about today. Have a great day. Take it easy. Bye-bye. That's the trading playbook. If today's episode was your film study, the principle, the pattern, the framework, [music] the application is waiting for you on Sunday. Real setups, real levels, ready before Monday opens. Subscribe to Verified Investing on YouTube. Saturday teaches. Sunday prepares. Show up ready.